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2 Questions about a standard microstakes spot
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, €0.10 BB (4 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com
BB (€10.10)
Hero (UTG) (€12.96)
Button (€19.47)
SB (€8.06)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with a pretty decent hand,
Hero bets €0.30, 1 fold, SB raises to €8.06 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ??? (last to act)
What is your calling range? Assume you have seen enough of villains play to know that he takes very strange lines (e.g. 40%+ VPIP, extremely aggro in bad spots, extreme slowplaying of very strong hands on very drawy boards etc.)
I have been doing some thinking about this situation. If we assume he has a mixture of goodish hands (say 88+, AK) and random suited fishbluffs like J7s.
In this particular hand we hold  .
Vs his 88+, AK we have 37% equity. Vs a random fishbluff of J7s we have only 65% equity. So he needs to have 38 possible combos of J7s (type stuff) for us to be able to call. There are roughly ~300 combos of possible random fishbluff hands, so he needs a 10% chance to random shove any given suited crap hand.
He could of course have more high Ax or Axs hands in his range, but even so it seems he needs a pretty high random shove % before we can start calling these hands, even when his value range is fairly wide?
I think the possibility of Axs shoves probably makes AQs a call, but are we calling any wider? AJs looks to be in much worse shape.
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