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Three pretty interesting hands, chrisa.
1. His range is pp's and 7x imo, about half of which we're ahead of depending on your estimates. The question is whether he'd bluff the 55/66 type hands. I think lots of players would raise the 88/99/TT type hands. That said, our read is that he doesn't bluff much. It's close but I'm calling and praying for (a Q obv or) an A, K, or 2-7 on the river, where I can hopefully see a cheap showdown.
2. AJs is one of those borderline UTG hands that I go back and fort on. This is a spot where it sucks, since tons of players will flat with AQ behind us. Multiway, that's even more likely. If we're going to open it, we've gotta cbet it. In this case, we actually have a bit of back door value with diamonds FD possible which is the main reason we can open AJs UTG but not so much AJo. Currently, I play AJs UTG on any table where there's no decent TAGG-reg to my left. With no reads, I probably play it and cbet this flop. What's your plan for a turn where you get called in two spots?
3. I really like this preflop spot. The stack sizes make it really interesting. Without the CO, I might even shovel trying to get all in against the SB's half stack. But we're really deep against the CO which means we'll only get action from him when we're absolutely crushed. I suggest a 4b to ~$6. I think we're still ahead of both CO's and SB's range, and the nice thing is that UTG has to play his cards face up. AQ, JJ, TT probably flat or fold, AK/KK+ shovel. An interesting thing about 4betting here is that we're last to act if anyone behind us decides to 5b shovel. If UTG goes all-in and then the CO folds/SB jams, we probably have enough equity to call the all-in. There's lots of combinations, but we get to evaluate with everyone else having acted in front. If we flat this and UTG/CO raise it up, we have a much more difficult decision.
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