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Is this hand planning okay against a maniac? (slightly long)
Villain is running 70/50/9.0 with a 10% 3-bet over 200 hands. I have seen him 3bet with A8o from the cutoff to a ep raiser and then go all the way postflop with bottom pair. He fires 3 barrels in every hand and has been running over the table, he started with $5 and is up to $17. I have, however, seen him fold to 3bets/4bets and check/raises postflop a handful of times.
I am running 13/11/2.5 btw in case he is paying attention. I have not shown anything down yet and have 3bet once or twice but have played 0 hands against villain.
I have 100BBs and my plan is to check call 2 streets and check/raise (or shove) the river with any piece. I want to get his stack before someone else has the chance and I felt the best way to get it all in the middle is to wait for any above average hand and then let him fire his way into the poorhouse.
However, his river shove made me jump out of my seat. I had planned on being the one raising the river and I realized I didn't have a plan for if he did this. I couldn't think of any hand he would suddenly overbet the river like this with as he had not done it once in 200 hands.
My first instinct was to fold but then I realized he was making it easy for me to get all of the money in here and that a shove on the river screamed bluff.
My final decision on calling (at the risk of leveling myself) was that maybe this guy actually was a thinking player and he thought he could make top pair, JJ, 99 etc lay down to a shove but that a valuebet would definitely get called.
Since his range is all over the damn place, I figured folding top pair (or even second pair for that matter) was hugely exploitable. If I get into habits of laying down here, I'll get torn up at higher limits.
My questions:
1. Is my plan sound or should I be 3betting this guy? What's our 3bet range against him?
2. Is check/calling a drawy flop and turn okay in this instance?
3. Is folding this river mathematically ever okay?
4. If my river call is okay, what range should we be calling the river here with?
5. What is our continuing range on the flop?
6. What boards should we be playing faster with our continuing range?
7. Is there a better way to plan against these types?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop | saw showdown
MP2 ($17.20)
MP3 ($1.65)
CO ($1.85)
Button ($7.85)
SB ($10.05)
Hero (BB) ($10)
UTG ($2)
UTG+1 ($10.20)
MP1 ($5.20)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , Q
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 bets $0.50, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.40, 1 fold
Flop: ($1.15) Q , 5 , 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn: ($2.15) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $1, Hero calls $1
River: ($4.15) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $15.20 (All-In), Hero calls $8 (All-In)
Total pot: $20.15 | Rake: $0.95
Sorry for the lengthy post. I don't post many hands but prefer to post ones that revolve more around planning our hands around commitment against various ranges and player types. These types of posts are necessarily longer.
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