|
QQ facing flop shove (5NL 6 Max)
This one got no reads, villain sat down with $2 about 3 hands ago.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($6.83)
SB ($2.63)
BB ($10.39)
Hero (UTG) ($4.53)
MP ($2.31)
CO ($7.71)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q , Q
Hero bets $0.20, MP calls $0.20, 4 folds
Flop: ($0.47) J , 8 , A (2 players)
Hero bets $0.35, MP raises to $2.11 (All-In), Hero folds
Total pot: $1.17 | Rake: $0.05
If I'm giving him a pretty tight range - all rag aces, perhaps with a few jacks thrown in.
Board: Jh 8h As
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 22.470% 22.37% 00.10% 38527 179.00 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 77.530% 77.43% 00.10% 133375 179.00 { KK+, JJ, A2s+, KJs, QJs, JTs, A2o+, KJo, QJo, JTo }
If we include the Hearts into his range - not sure if I'm working stove right something I've got to work on. It would look something like the below
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.897% 54.67% 00.23% 210541 872.00 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 45.103% 44.88% 00.23% 172825 872.00 { JJ+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, KJo, QJo, JTo }
Mind I doubt even the donk is calling with 32s so just tightening his pre flop range, to more SCs and Double Gappers - this range looks more likely.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.771% 35.47% 00.30% 80767 683.00 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 64.229% 63.93% 00.30% 145567 683.00 { JJ+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, J9s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, A2o+, KJo, QJo, JTo }
So I guess is it a call?
$1.76 to win $4.69 - still not sure.
37.5% but I'm not sure if I'm working it out right or if the range is even close.
|