QQ facing flop shove (5NL 6 Max)

This one got no reads, villain sat down with $2 about 3 hands ago.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($6.83)
SB ($2.63)
BB ($10.39)
Hero (UTG) ($4.53)
MP ($2.31)
CO ($7.71)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, Q
Hero bets $0.20, MP calls $0.20, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.47) J, 8, A (2 players)
Hero bets $0.35, MP raises to $2.11 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: $1.17 | Rake: $0.05

If I'm giving him a pretty tight range - all rag aces, perhaps with a few jacks thrown in.

Board: Jh 8h As
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 22.470% 22.37% 00.10% 38527 179.00 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 77.530% 77.43% 00.10% 133375 179.00 { KK+, JJ, A2s+, KJs, QJs, JTs, A2o+, KJo, QJo, JTo }

If we include the Hearts into his range - not sure if I'm working stove right something I've got to work on. It would look something like the below

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.897% 54.67% 00.23% 210541 872.00 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 45.103% 44.88% 00.23% 172825 872.00 { JJ+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, KJo, QJo, JTo }

Mind I doubt even the donk is calling with 32s so just tightening his pre flop range, to more SCs and Double Gappers - this range looks more likely.


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.771% 35.47% 00.30% 80767 683.00 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 64.229% 63.93% 00.30% 145567 683.00 { JJ+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, J9s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, A2o+, KJo, QJo, JTo }

So I guess is it a call?
$1.76 to win $4.69 - still not sure.
37.5% but I'm not sure if I'm working it out right or if the range is even close.

I guess fold.

And there's something wrong with your ranges.

Just the Ace Rags?

you're not stoving it right
you're having him shove Kc2c

this is how you include hearts in his range:

181,170 games 0.031 secs 5,844,193 games/sec

Board: Jh 8h As
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 22.906% 22.83% 00.07% 41363 135.50 { QcQs }
Hand 1: 77.094% 77.02% 00.07% 139536 135.50 { AA, JJ, 88, A2s+, KhQh, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh7h, Kh6h, Kh5h, Kh4h, Kh3h, Kh2h, QhTh, Qh9h, Qh7h, Qh6h, Qh5h, Th9h, Th7h, T6s, 9h7h, 9h6h, 7h6h, 7h5h, 7h4h, 6h5h, 6h4h, 5h4h, 5h3h, 4h3h, A2o+, T9o }

Ah what a dumbass, cheers!

Yeah, you gotta fold. That Ace on the board makes it very risky. I personally only think you should have led out with a 1/2 the pot sized bet ($0.20).

I'm not scared of the ace though golfguy, if I bet small which I very rarely do at this level it gives the impression I don't have the ace. If I have A10 say I bet the same, looking back it's a pretty standard fold.