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Flop top set on monochrome board

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  1. #1

    Default Flop top set on monochrome board

    Villain is 12/2/0.41 over 287 hands.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (7 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    CO ($17.30)
    Button ($15.95)
    Hero ($27.50)
    BB ($22)
    UTG ($13.40)
    MP1 ($29.30)
    MP2 ($26.50)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with T, T.
    1 fold, MP1 calls $0.25, MP2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, MP1 calls $1, MP2 folds.

    Flop: ($3) T, 6, 4 (2 players)
    Hero bets $2.5, MP1 calls $2.50.

    Turn: ($8) 2 (2 players)
    Hero bets $5.5, MP1 raises to $11, Hero ????
    Sue me if I play too long....
  2. #2
    XTR1000's Avatar
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    His low AF makes this kinda ugly, but don´t fold here.

    He probably has 66/44 often enough, given his low pfr even a retarded QQ/JJ sometimes. If he has clubs make sure to pair the board.
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  3. #3
    Deuce Blue's Avatar
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    His numbers do make this scary but I just ain't laying it down. Maybe.... Crap I don't know. You gotta just decide if he's got he flush, if he does in your mind you gotta fold now. If you think hes drawing or you have him beat you gotta get the rest in. I don't think calling is an option.

    I shove and cuss I think....and pray for the board to pair.
  4. #4
    Shove. If he has a 2nd best hand then a river club could kill your action. You definitely can't afford to fold top set here ever.
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  5. #5
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    Easy shove imo.
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by XTR1000
    don´t fold here.

    If he has clubs make sure to pair the board.
    This made me LoL. Remember, on the river, if you have not made your full house, yet, you have 10 outs for the boat or better. That's 20% equity on the river regardless. Shove and hope to get all the chips in.

    And then make sure to pair the board.
  7. #7
    sarbox68's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Robb
    And then make sure to pair the board.
    Yes! I vote for this always. ^^^

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