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I was wondering whether 3betting with 8-8 or A-Qs would be better against a loose villan who likes to call 3bets with SC's. I initially thought that the 8-8 hand would do better against a loose villans 3bet calling range due to the fact that a PP > 2 overcards against SC's.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
65,067,552 games 0.005 secs 13,013,510,400 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 71.719% 71.05% 00.67% 46232674 432990.00 { 8d8h }
Hand 1: 28.281% 27.62% 00.67% 17968898 432990.00 { T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s }
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
328,762,368 games 0.005 secs 65,752,473,600 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 62.505% 62.26% 00.24% 204702056 791162.00 { AQs }
Hand 1: 37.495% 37.25% 00.24% 122477988 791162.00 { T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s }
However, when you put some other reasonable broadway hands and PP's into the mix...
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
965,739,456 games 0.005 secs 193,147,891,200 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.340% 51.95% 00.39% 501655980 3810378.00 { 88 }
Hand 1: 47.660% 47.27% 00.39% 456462720 3810378.00 { QQ-99, AQs-AJs, T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s, AQo-AJo }
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
616,429,440 games 0.005 secs 123,285,888,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 58.771% 53.77% 05.00% 331429676 30850922.00 { AQs }
Hand 1: 41.229% 36.22% 05.00% 223297920 30850922.00 { QQ-99, AQs-AJs, T7s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s, AQo-AJo }
Now A-Qs > 8-8. However, 9-9 is only has 1% less equity than A-Qs against this range, and J-J has 12% more equity!
In a post i wrote in my operation blog, i was evaluating the EV of calling with J-J/Q-Q type hands against a PF raiser when IP. My logic at the time was that our hand would be well concealed and we would win more bets off of a villan with TP. However, i have realized a few things.
1). Villan with a top pair of tens usually isn't going to go nuts. He might not even call a river bet if he lead the turn and got called/raised.
2). Villan might have a hand bigger than one pair, and i am going to lose a good amount of chips sometimes mistaking his actions for an over aggro villan with TPTK and run into two pair/set hands.
3). If villan is loose and will call 3bet, i am better off getting more money into the pot when i am so heavily favored against his range!
However, against a nit who will only call 3bet with a much tighter range of hands... (note: and also always 4bet A-A/K-K)
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
328,762,368 games 0.005 secs 65,752,473,600 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.925% 40.73% 00.19% 133909428 637980.00 { 88 }
Hand 1: 59.075% 58.88% 00.19% 193576980 637980.00 { QQ-JJ, AQs+, AKo }
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41,095,296 games 0.005 secs 8,219,059,200 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.800% 30.22% 06.58% 12417873 2705085.00 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 63.200% 56.62% 06.58% 23267253 2705085.00 { QQ-JJ, AQs+, AKo }
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... 8-8 is slightly better. It seems somewhat counterintuitive, but i am going to take pokerstoves word for it
Again, if there are mistakes please don't hesitate to point them out to me
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