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 Originally Posted by Trainer_jyms
only 4 pairs and AK have you dominated I think, not even sure of AK seeing as I' m at work and don't have pokerstove here. We are talking about pre flop, No? you have to get your money in when you are ahead and thin out the feild of chasers. Of a full 9 or 10 ring How many have your TT beat preflop.
That's assuming that you're playing people who will know enough to fold/limp-fold KQ, QJ, KJ, AJ, AQ to a raise. If I knew that they wouldn't play those hands to a raise, I'd be glad to raise TT every time. But, you're a coinflip against those hands and AK, and a big dog to JJ+. If there are 3 players at the table willing to play all 10 of these hands to a raise, I'm not sure raising TT in every position is a highly +EV situation (again maybe I'm wrong but that's why I started this thread in the first place). TT vs QJ vs KQ vs AJ-- according to twodimes, our edge is mighty slim here:
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Tc Td 355160 32.70 727486 66.99 3362 0.31 0.328
Qs Kd 292897 26.97 783881 72.18 9230 0.85 0.273
Ac Jh 332517 30.62 744074 68.51 9417 0.87 0.310
Qd Jd 90149 8.30 980574 90.29 15285 1.41 0.089
Against 2 players where their outs aren't in the other players' hands, we're actually behind (I'm very surprised by this. So much so that I have to ask: is this right??):
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Tc Td 435209 31.75 931747 67.97 3798 0.28 0.318
Qs Kd 462769 33.76 904187 65.96 3798 0.28 0.339
Ac Jh 468978 34.21 897978 65.51 3798 0.28 0.343
I'm not arguing the point that raising TT is +EV; the winning players here advising that is proof enough that it is. I do think, though, that the winning players here have enough experience to sniff out the best spots to raise TT, the times when playing it for set value is enough, and even more importantly: when to dump it. Plus their TAG playing style (whereas compared to those guys I'm more passive) gets them that fold equity edge that I probably don't have. I just hope I get to that point soon.
EDIT: Good points yorib. Post-flop play is key of course, but we beginners here don't have they spidey-sense to get out of the way of a passively played set and end up betting too much to try and take down the pot when someone has clearly flopped something better than TT.
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