|
sorry for the delay .....FTR wouldnt let me back in to post ....
Originally Posted by GatorJH
exactly. I still think Keith was recruited early on when Pelion's potential strategy was noobish type players over vets (possibly thinking vets would be easy lynch targets). I can CERTAINLY understand how I would be at the top of your list, just don't blatantly assume anything tomorrow as the game will be in your hands.
Thats an interesting statement to make. Where is your proof? Its the only way that your theory that I am the last wolf stands up after dranger made his massive mistake incriminating JKDS.Early on I was consistently focussed on Dawolfdoggy hoping that IA would at least look him up.
Day 4
Keith
Day 4 (pg 15) – made first post to again lynch DD; posted that he didn’t feel DD was getting any BW love so jumped on the Flomo bandwagon (6th vote I think); made SUPER LONG post quoting a bunch of people and trying to dispute and/or agree with each one; posted after IA suggested shooting Warpe to lynch Flomo and shoot Warpe; added Gator as a possible suspect; zombie Flomo is hung
IA the seer had made a post asking if anyone thought flomo was suspicious.Then a BW started and the order of the flomo BW is interesting in that it was Warpe,IA,JKDS,Gator,SDM,SDM rescinds,SDM,keith
then gator made this post
Originally Posted by GatorJH
I just looked through his posts again and still like a Flomo lynch as well, followed by Pelion.
Gator also posted his lynch pelion post on the first day and was the only person to be naming pelion at all.To do it twice especially in a running BW seems strange to me almost as if he could claim at a later stage that he had been suspicious of Pelion all along.Gator also conveniently managed to avoid me dissecting dranger attack on me and accusing dranger of being a wolf.This was at 9.11PM.
Originally Posted by Keith_MM
Originally Posted by dranger7070
Keith, I don't understand how you can gain that he looked up Rilla/Warpe last night and that he found a villager in one with the post that he made. Everyone has been telling him to NOT say if he found a villager or wolf, so why would he say he did? A likely scenario is he looked up flomo and found a wolf. Ok, cool, so we got one (fwiw I could totally see flomo being a wolf as well as warpe) BUT why the FUCK would we waste our lynch on flomo, if hes a CONFIRMED wolf? Hasn't the plan of attack always been to lynch the suspicious ones (i.e. Warpe, me (apparently), whoever) and then shoot the confirmed wolves? You're preaching at everyone to use their heads and stuff, well you on flomo's wagon need to use your's imo.
so lets examine what IA was advised
Originally Posted by GatorJH
Originally Posted by Warpe
the vig has 2 bullets now, right? we gotta start identifying some targets.
agreed
I also think there is merit to NOT revealing the lookup immediately. Let's get some discussion going and if it gets to a point where IA can reveal a name AND it leads to some clues then we reveal. At that point we lynch the "maybe" and Vig shoots the wolf.
Originally Posted by bigred
Meh, if u found a villager I'd just try to protect him from any bandwagons by being persuasive, no need to reveal would could be next night's zombie.
Originally Posted by JKDS
[in this type of game, there is an immense need to hide those revealed. one strat i suggest
-if villager: stop his bandwagon before he dies, point fingers at ppl on that wagon. if nothing happens, keep it to yourself.
-if wolf: have a nice long day and see what he does. does he buddy up with ppl? ignore ppl, attack etc. if you find something, out him shoot him and lynch the suspect.
look at the highlighted advice and then compare that to how IA has acted with regards to the warpe BW , he's tried to stop it and to suggest others. The fact that the wolfy suspects are piling in to try and get warpe speaks volumes
as for who to shoot
Originally Posted by trips
The Alpha Zombie will be able to recruit villager N on night X if vigilante shoots alpha zombie on NIGHT X. Alpha zombie will not be able to recruit villager N on NIGHT X if vigilante targers villager N. If vigilante targets alpha zombie on NIGHT X who plans to recruit vigilante on NIGHT X, both will die.
so alpha recruits unless its the angel or Vig he targets and then they both die before he gets shot, so if we think we have a wolf who's possiblythe alpha its better to lynch them and then if he comes back as a wolf target another possible wolf
And where exactly have i been preaching in this game that we need to use our brains? At least I am thinking , rather than slamming in half assed lynchings on people who turn out to be llagers without letting them defend themselves then laughing about it and saying I seem so wolfy now lol. (yeah thats because you are a wolf) .
at 9.15pm warpe posted to respond to flomo post
at 9.17pm JKDS posted some waffle about how its easy to miss wolves early on and defending warpe
at 9.20pm dranger posts a response saying that he sees where i'm coming from
at 9.28pm dranger posts
Originally Posted by dranger7070
Actually JKDS, I've been actively pushing an IA lynch from Day 1. Soul read for the wolves LOLAMIRITE? Too bad he outed himself one vote too soon.
this seems like too convenient a flurry of posts to be made by people who have been shown to be wolves after I accused but my post must have rattled dranger for him to then make his mistake .You accept that it is more likely for pelion to recruit gator or rilla after drangers mistake , and say I must have been recruited before his mistake. That doesn't make sense though when I was the person who put the pressure on dranger and he cracked under the pressure and incriminated another of the wolves. In hindsight this is where SDM came out with his " I'm the angel story" which deflected some of the attention away from drangers mistake.
Originally Posted by GatorJH
IA, With all of the posts that have happened during this day will revealing your pic allow us to put any pieces together? If you looked up Warpe I DEFINITELY agree that you should now tell us.
I am pretty torn on revealing the lookup because revealing a villager lookup doesn't do the village that much good unless said villager is on a lynch bandwagon. Just because IA reveals that, as an example, JKDS is a villager that doesn't tell us much because JKDS doesn't know who the wolves are any more than I do. In that case the only ones who gain are the wolves because it gives them more angles to play against the village.
we now know that JKDS was a wolf who had been compromised by dranger , is this the wolves trying to find out if IA had cleared Warpe so that he could be recruited as a confirmed villager?. Why is Gator defending JKDS here when we now know that JKDS was a wolf.
I also find it extremely interesting that in his notes on me he completely avoids "my way out there theory"
Originally Posted by Keith_MM
way out there theory.
Assume Warpe is the alpha and flomo is a wolf. IA has been gunning for flomo since page 8 , and half way down page 16 wilbur has just voted for Warpe. Just prior to that IA had been going after Bigred and Warpe had jumped on the bandwagon.IA is now known to be the seer so discussion would have been busy amongst the wolves.
The fact that IA has been gunning for flomo for a long time makes his lookup at some time pretty obvious to the wolves and Warpe would be worried about a BW getting rolling on himself. Maybe it was suggested that flomo be put up as a sacrifice to give Warpe longer to recuit.The fact that he started the actual bandwagon would make his lookup less likely by IA.
page 16 12.04 warpe puts in his lynch flomo
12.33 IA falls for the bait and runs with the flomo idea
12.36 JKDS is on that BW
1.05 Gator hops on
1.20 SDM is on
With the Warpe BW , JKDS was pointing out how quick the bandwagon got going but this was just as fast. Add in Drangers soul read for the wolves post to JKDS and the wrong thread lolaments comments about it and theres reason to link warpe jkds and dranger together with flomo taking the heat away from Warpe and causing IA not to lookup Warpe for a couple more days
then factor in that gator is advising to not shoot warpe tonight.
Its a way out theory but could tie in , Any thoughts?
this caused JKDS to go into post overdrive.And just like most of my suggestions got little love from the village. Warpe was either a wolf at that stage or a planned recruit. If Pelion had finished Warpe off then it would then have caused the village to take a long hard look at my theory which would have cleared out most of the wolves.I also posted at that stage
Originally Posted by Keith_MM
Originally Posted by Instant Aces
Originally Posted by TLR
Assuming Flomo is lynched
I think that if Flomo is a villager vig should shoot either Wrape or 'rilla
I don't think you should shoot either one...but shoot the one that beings w/ Double you and rhymes with arpe before the one that starts w/ r and rhymes w/ killa.
Arghhhhhhh , wouldn't this post have been good yesterday when I was asking for clarification on whether you looked up warpe or not. If you KNOW that Warpe is a villager then you wouldn't be writing this , We'd then have had a whole day at the weekend to then discuss the new info rather than 12 hours on a workday with a deadline imposed . Great piece of work (sarcasm ).
In the light of this new info my feeling now is that we should carry on with the flomo lynch and then Vig shoots Warpe.[b]If Warpe survives into tomorrow he is now prime candidate for conversion as all the info on his bandwagoners will be wasted if he's currently a villager,a lookup occurs after conversion so that the only way we can verify he's a villager with potential wolves on the wagon is to shoot him[b]
I'm staying with the flomo lynch simply because of the way he reacted which didnt seem to be villagerish mounting his own defence , more like a cornered wolf trying to injure his attackers knowing he was going to die.
All in all does this sound like a wolf or a villager trying to sort through the evidence available at that stage.
Originally Posted by continuing gators original quote
Rilla, I don't remember copying your posts before, but with that last one was just making a point that all three of us could make that same statement and only one of us would be lying.
PS - I find it VERY interesting that Keith is just sitting back and taking a "I will throw my vote with whoever IA and Stacks want" stance. It's almost like he doesn't care which of us gets lynched where rilla and I have actually been trying to sort things out.
Give me until tomorrow morning before lynching me as I want to post my comments on rilla and Keith tonight. Maybe they will be helpful in making your final decision the next day.
Oh, and I am not saying/doing all of this as some massive level. I am just a regular villager trying to help win the game and understand why I would be at the top of your lynch list so I am ok with dying today as long as we still get to win.
Am i really just sitting back and not caring. I posted yesterday to say that i was trying to put the information together and you threw it back at me saying that I was an early recruit. Hopefully , I have now proved that I couldn't have been an early recruit and that I forced dranger into making his mistake. With stacks post that he would prefer not to have to make a choice between rilla and Gator tomorrow .Rilla appears happy that I am a villager and wants to get rid of Gator today which I'm confident will bring a village win tonight. Gator seems to be scared to put himself up against me tommorow trying to get rid of me today and give stacks a coin flip tomorrow. Seems like the actions of a wolf trying to win rather than a villager doing the best for the village.
Also don't forget that I'm in the uk , so a lot of the recent posts happened overnight for me when I was asleep which is why I haven't responded til now and have been going through putting the evidence together for this post. Since I'm obviously not thrilled with letting gator get to a coin flip with rilla tomorrow
|