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Originally Posted by DonkeyBets
No stats I dont have any software. most Villains this one included were playing TAG narrow ranges .
I'm of the opinion that stat tracking software is -EV for the vast majority of micro stakes players.
It's too expensive to justify the cost in terms of your BR and its expected effect on your winrate is too low when playing micro-stakes blinds to recoup the loss. Realistically, a poker tracker may add 2 - 5 bb/100 hands to your winrate. I think that 5's optimistic. Poker trackers are for figuring out whether a thin play is on the meaty or lean side of thin. Those thin plays are close to 0 EV (hence are thin), and wont have a dominant effect on your BR.
For most players, you don't need the tracker to tell you their VPIP to already know whether they're tight or loose with their starting ranges. You just need to pay attention for a couple orbits to know this. Your insight is better than the computer's numbers until you have 10's of thousands of hands against a single Villain.
Originally Posted by DonkeyBets
I can put him on a range now but in the hands I have a hard time putting villains on ranges because the time limit is so fast , I'm sure it gets easier when your more experienced but it sucks right now .
That's all I'm asking. I can't really put people on well-defined ranges in my head during live play. I can only trust my gut to guide me in a good direction. The away-from-the-tables study where I practice ranges is what informs that gut, so it does matter.
It's hard, and it does kinda suck... I mean... it's a lot to navigate and finding confidence is a slow burn.
Look on the bright side: the fact that you're even occasionally trying to think of ranges away from the tables puts you leagues ahead of the Villains you're facing, and you'll be moving up in the stakes faster because of your dedicated study.
Try to find a balance between having the discipline to deeply analyze a hand and the discipline to turn off the analytical side of your brain and enjoy the game.
Originally Posted by DonkeyBets
Once Villain calls on the flop I am thinking most likely Jx, JT,JQ,Jk, maybe TT-88 and calling a c-bet one time to see if I give up or they hit a set. Villain could also have 44 I guess slow playing it or Ax .
There you go. Doesn't have to be perfect, just has to be your best guess. You play the villain as you understand them; you revise as you go.
Study your own ranges. It gives you the most insight into your opponents' ranges when you can see similarities and differences to your (known) ranges. It feels so good to find a leak in your ranges and then see a Villain express that exact same leak. You probably know exactly why it is a weakness, and how to capitalize on it.
You gotta bet more when you have the nuts, man. 1/2 PSB when you KNOW you have the best hand is almost never max value at the micros.
Again, if they're folding too much when you bet big with the goods, then you DO NOT respond by betting smaller when you got the goods. You respond by betting more often when you don't have the goods. You take the bottom combo(s) in your range for that spot and you bet them like the nuts when Villains fold too much. This is known as polarizing your range. You bet the top and bottom of your range the same.
If Villains are calling too much, then you respond by adding a couple of your next-best combos to the nutted range. This is known as merging your ranges. You're expanding your big betting range to incorporate some of your mid-betting range, because Villains are calling light, so you don't need to be as good to win when they call.
Showing other villains at the table that you can bluff with air on a river against that one guy who folds too much to big bets OTR is often still +EV (long term) when that guy shows up with a hand and calls you down. The notion that you'd bluff him but not them is not even on their radar. You're just a bluffer in their mind. Gawd this is so money.
The important thing before you do this is to know your own ranges.
Just 'cause it feels like you don't have a strong hand in that moment, doesn't mean that hand represents the bottom of your range for that spot.
Originally Posted by DonkeyBets
Turn comes an 8c, I check with the intent on check raising here I figured if he had a pair and was going to raise he would call the re-raise especially if it was Jx which was a majority of his range imo. he couldve held a K i guess but was a bit unlikely. Anyways he does bet Turn and I checkraise in which he calls. Once Villain calls the turn I put him on Jx maybe even J8s because of the re-raise call on turn.theres not really any draws out there. River comes and I Shove all in. I wanted to make it look like i was bluffing the river so i came out with an all-in,but after I look at it now it just looks like a strong line since I check raised him . he folded and I feel like i lost value by not betting just half pot .
I don't see any problems with this, but I'm interested in ong's thoughts. I never played against ong, but I suspect his post-flop game is stronger than mine. His use of board texture to motivate his play is def. a step above mine.
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