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50NL: bottom set vs nit (on flush board)
Villain was 11/6/2 over 700 hands.
His WST was something like 28%
My fealing was that he could can enough with AA/KK (and maybe AQ).
If he c/r then clearly he has a flush, even if only AKss is in his range.
So his range is AA/KK/half AQ/AKss/QdQh(only 1 combo as he should 3bet it on the flop often enough)/8d8h/8h8s(2 combos as he would not always raise 88 here).
So we are very often in front. How much to bet?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($53.85)
UTG+1 ($109.60)
Hero (MP1) ($50)
MP2 ($76.25)
MP3 ($52)
CO ($50)
Button ($50)
SB ($52.50)
BB ($92.40)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 2, 2
1 fold, UTG+1 bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 6 folds
Flop: ($3.75) 2, 8, Q (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $1.50, Hero raises $5.50, UTG+1 calls $4
Turn: ($14.75) J (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $9, UTG+1 calls $9
River: ($32.75) 6 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets ???
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