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The last couple sessions this weekend have not been great, got variance rocked. Especially this past one was a bad combination of variance and then ofcourse, avoidable losses. I probably should have quit sooner, but felt I was playing ok for the most part.
Does anyone have any good math on set hunting in 3bet pots?
Sometimes I get into these sessions where somehow every pocket pair I get, gets 3b, and ppl are 3betting small enough that I keep having like 13-15x effective behind so I keep peeling them. I'm not sure how good that is or not.
Winnings on the month: -$80
Avoidable losses on the month: $1350
Winnings on the year: $130
Avoidable losses on the year: $6850
Avoidable losses:
Hand 39)
This spot is meh. Villain was playing aggro, I could go either way on the turn. Calling the turn and re-eval river is probably alright given the price he's giving me, so I'd say an extra $170 avoidable here.
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($236.95) 118bb
griffey24 (CO) ($277.33) 139bb
BTN ($303.75) 152bb
SB ($245.92) 123bb
BB ($307.30) 154bb
Pre-Flop: ($3, 5 players) griffey24 is CO
1 fold, griffey24 raises to $6, BTN calls $6, 1 fold, BB raises to $24, griffey24 calls $18, BTN folds
Flop: ($55, 2 players)
BB bets $28, griffey24 calls $28
Turn: ($111, 2 players)
BB bets $56, griffey24 goes all-in $225.33, BB calls $169.33
River: ($561.66, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: $561.66
griffey24 shows
BB shows
BB wins $558.66 (net +$281.33)
griffey24 lost $277.33
BTN lost $6
Hand 40)
I'm not sure what the best line is here. Villain is somewhat aggro, and has definitely been on me in previous sessions 3betting me. I've seen him raise flops somewhat light before.
I'd imagine jam is prob the worst option given I block his combos of worse pairs+draws. I also block the nuts though, so I don't expect too many value hands raising here.
I don't think this is the best line so I'll count some avoidable here.
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
griffey24 (UTG) ($200) 100bb
UTG+1 ($235.05) 118bb
CO ($209) 105bb
BTN ($313.20) 157bb
SB ($543.15) 272bb
BB ($200) 100bb
Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) griffey24 is UTG
griffey24 raises to $6, 1 fold, CO calls $6, 3 folds
Flop: ($15, 2 players)
griffey24 bets $10, CO calls $10
Turn: ($35, 2 players)
griffey24 bets $25, CO raises to $73, griffey24 goes all-in $184
Hand 41)
This is a weird hand. Villain is a reg, and I think he often thinks I'm FoS pre and also thinks I fold to a lot of 4b. Based on dynamic I felt reasonably certain that he was light here, though given that read I should def just jam this pre. I'd rather be calling oop with a high less vulnerable pair if I felt like peeling.
River is a bluff.. but is better ever folding? QQ/JJ/Kx?
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
4 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
CO ($192.45) 96bb
BTN ($220.95) 110bb
griffey24 (SB) ($207.30) 104bb
BB ($219.85) 110bb
Pre-Flop: ($3, 4 players) griffey24 is SB
1 fold, BTN raises to $5, griffey24 raises to $20, 1 fold, BTN raises to $40, griffey24 calls $20
Flop: ($82, 2 players)
griffey24 checks, BTN bets $30, griffey24 calls $30
Turn: ($142, 2 players)
griffey24 checks, BTN checks
River: ($142, 2 players)
griffey24 bets $137.30, BTN calls $137.30
Final Pot: $416.60
BTN shows
griffey24 shows
BTN wins $414.60 (net +$207.30)
griffey24 lost $207.30
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