Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumBeginners Circle

Probability help

Results 1 to 2 of 2
  1. #1
    TylerK's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Posts
    1,870
    Location
    PEANUT BUTTER JELLY TIME

    Default Probability help

    Need a little help figuring out probability as it relates to small suited connectors and implied odds. With a hand like (for example) 54s, what are my odds of flopping any of the following:
    - 2 pair
    - trips
    - straight draw
    - flush draw

    Basically what I'm trying to determine is how big a stack a raiser should have relative to his raise in order for me to call his raise with a hand like this.
    TylerK: its just gambling if i want to worry about money i'll go to work lol
  2. #2
    2 pair:
    (3C1)(3C1)(46C1) / (50C3) = 2.1%

    trips:
    2 * [(3C2)(47C1) / (50C3)] = 1.44%

    straight draw (connectors like 54):
    so A2x
    A3x
    23x
    36x
    67x
    68x
    6 * [(4C1)(4C1)(42C1) / (50C3)] = 17.1%

    flush draw:
    (11C2)(39C1) / (50C3) = 11%

    so to flop any of the above is roughly 31.7%

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •