Keith, I know where you're coming from because this went through my mind too, but obviously it's always going to be better to lynch a wolf than not.

I think the thing to take away is that D1, the cost of a mislynch is less than normal. If we mislynch, we have a shot at blocking the wolves' kill. If we get a wolf, then obviously the wolf alone in the dead thread would never stop the wolves' kill.