79s bluff river on QQJ62? 25nlFR

[daven]

villain just seems weak and bad over tiny sample
river bluff cos i about never have showdown value and he has AT a lot? needs to work >25/63 times. Is this too optimistic?

PokerStars Pot-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($10)
MP ($23.04)
Hero (Button) ($26.92)
SB ($24.05)
BB ($25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7, 9
UTG (poster) checks, MP bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.60) Q, Q, J (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($1.60) 2 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.10, MP calls $1.10

River: ($3.80) 6 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $2.50,

[baudib]

I think betting slightly less is better if he's weak-tight.

[Shotglass]

I like slightly less than half pot.
Granted, it gives the opponent great calling odds but it could make him think that you're trying to get him to shove over. Plus with the smaller bet it needs to work a smaller % for it to be profitable.

[Roid_Rage]

Shove-over? Wat. We're still fairly deep after OP's bet, no way he's shoving over?

Seems fine? If he snaps you off with TT w/e, he's probably not snappling with Ax.

[Shotglass]

Shove-over?

Forgive my terminology, I meant a large re-raise, not an AI.

[Roid_Rage]

It's ridiculous how much a cartoon blonde can turn me on, especially since she's so obviously underage.

[Micro2Macro]

why not just bet the flop and go from there

[daven]

why not just bet the flop and go from there

makes a lot of sense. In game i felt like he may check big hands one street, but never two - betting flop makes life harder for him though with all the hands he has (most beat me, A4 etc) but they will never check-call this flop and get the chance to realise their equity.

[bikes]

dont check the flop

[rpm]

pretty much got a green light to steal this pot on the flop imo. it's pretty dry and we get a truckload of hands which "beat" us to fold.