Quote Originally Posted by daviddem View Post
If he has a made flush you need 22.8% fold equity. However I don't think he is ever folding a flush, esp. if it's A or K high as is likely since he raised UTG pre.

Maybe he could be doing this as a semi-bluff himself if he is holding the As or Ks, but in this case I am not sure how confident you can be that he will call your shove. edit: he probably would as he most likely would have As or Ks + another overcard, so his draw looks stronger to him than it actually is as he can't put you only on sets

Against a {AsKs,AsQs,AsJs,KsQs,AcKs,AdKs,AhKs,AsQc,AsQd,AsQh ,AsJc,AsJd,AsJh,KsQc,KsQd,KsQh}
range I have you at 61.7% equity. I discounted the oversets and AsA and KsK because it seems very unlikely he would check the flop with these on this board.

Against this range I would shove and hope he calls with his draws. If not, you always get the dead money to compensate a bit.

Now to stick with your initial scenario where he only check/minraises you with a made flush, and on the premise that he will never fold his flush, it seems better to call to see the next card (you have enough implied odds): since his hole cards do not pair with the board, you have 7 cards out of 45 (15.5%) in the deck giving you a FH or quads on the turn. The pot odds are 18.6%, but you almost certainly get at least an extra street of value when you hit. And if you don't hit you may be lucky on the turn if he continues to slow play it and bets silly small again, then you might be priced in to see the river.
these are some good points. i never thought about calling the min-raise and that is an option.