AK overs, turn nfd, river flush - sizing? 25nl

[daven]

villain seems pretty bad, but super aggro means that he's a different type of dead money. He's 42-24-20 over 200 and may have reason to believe that i'm full of shit sometimes, mostly cos i've been value-betting rivers pretty thin in small pots. We haven't played any big hands together yet.

preflop and flop are pretty standard, although villain does have low fold to flop c-bet. Turn check behind is interesting - i think pretty standard cos he isn't folding to a barrel here and i've got outs/equity etc. Thoughts?

ok, river is bingo obviously - except that he isn't blind and may find a fold with his 3rd pair most likely holdings, so, raise it up and hope for the best? shove?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($45.53)
SB ($25)
BB ($27.03)
Hero (UTG) ($32.86)
UTG+1 ($25)
MP1 ($25)
MP2 ($14.76)
CO ($29.45)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K
Hero bets $0.85, 6 folds, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.80) 3, J, 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.40, BB calls $1.40

Turn: ($4.60) 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($4.60) Q (2 players)
BB bets $1.25, Hero raises to $xxx,

[!Luck]

His range is bluffs + straight(?) + weaker flushes. I think vs this guy who might think you are full of shit you can go ahead and shove.

!luck

[Carroters]

$5.35

[daven]

$5.35

why?

[PokerWang]

Take advantage of your loose image and shove. He'll likely call if he really thinks you bluff a lot.

[al yell]

taking into account.. "villain seems pretty bad" + "may have reason to believe that i'm full of shit", I'd say shoving looks weaker than raising, and i would do it quickly.

[JustinSKS]

Bet turn.

[Micro2Macro]

barrel turn

shoving seems ridiculous

[daven]

Bet turn.

barrel turn

i'm really interested in this. I thought about it, and decided not to.

My reasoning (which could obviously be flawed) is that it just doesn't seem a good place to bluff at all, especially when i have to snap-fold if he c-bombs while if i take the free card i get to see whether the river converts my likely 25%-ish equity in the pot. I'm not sure about whether betting for him to fold 99 type of hands is good on a card that gives him extra draws?

so, barreling = obviously i rep the flush/high pairs/other strong made stuff so i have some fold equity, thing is that he'll be happily getting it in the middle on this turn with pretty much anything overpairs+ and probably isn't worried about the turn heart much.

[daviddem]

hey, I am also interested to know why we should barrel the turn, and what's the plan?

[Razvan729]

i would just double its bet... make him think we just trying to bluff... maybe he'll shove and we got him.... i would play like this

[Micro2Macro]

u have a billion outs and only need him to fold like 20% or something and he's gonna peel flop light so he'll have a weak enough range to justify it plus we have some implied odds when we hit our outs when he does call.