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AQs vs 2 Villians 10NL 6Max
Why 3-bet preflop? This is not my standard move, but HJ is 46/27 with 0% fold to 3 bet over two atemps, sure it is a small sample of 26 hands but I went with it. CO also has a 0% fold to 3-bet over 1 hand over a total hand count of 26, he is running 42/42. Plus his range includes tons of small and middle pockets.
Both players are semi aggressive but not to the point where I am too worried. I thought they would call me with their pockets and other dominated hands and play straightforward, with an occasional bluff.
As this was for value I think I could have gone a bit bigger like 1.2. Not sure how to judge this. In theory they have odds to call with their pockets but I am not going to lose my stack every so meh.
Flop sucks monkey balls. Since a big part of their range are pockets 22-jj (doubtful qq+ is in there giving the way preflop played out) So if I c-bet I fold out 44 and not even for sure. So I have to check. I am very confident with this, but if someone presents a good argument for c-betting here I am all ears.
So turn call is meh. I need 6.7:1 to call if I assume my A and Q outs are good, which is very likely considering the paring of boards, obv 22,33,66 are in his range but it is a tiny percentage, plus there could be some weaksuace air in there.
I am getting 3.63:1, but between him calling a value bet on the river and % air. Eh. the call is very meh, but not as confident.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($21.40)
CO ($10.15)
Hero (Button) ($11.20)
SB ($11)
BB ($13.25)
UTG ($23.40)
Preflop: Hero is Button with Q , A
1 fold, MP bets $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, MP calls $0.70, CO calls $0.70
Flop: ($3.15) 2 , 6 , 3 (3 players)
MP checks, CO checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($3.15) 6 (3 players)
MP bets $1.20, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.20
River: ($5.55) K (2 players)
MP bets $3.30, Hero folds
Total pot: $5.55 | Rake: $0.25
Only way I can bet the flop is if I think they will fold low pockets to barrels. But i would need to b/b/b shove river which seems like a high variance play and giving pot size I think they might look me up with 99-jj.
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