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how do people with these numbers win?

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  1. #1

    Default how do people with these numbers win?

    As i'm sure you all know micro stakes are full of people with numbers that look like this. 60/3/7. Most of them are way down but some actually win. I assume they are going bat shit when they hit a big hand and making all their money donks who stack off for over 100xbb with tptk.
  2. #2
    sorry guys i totally posted this in the wrong forum.
  3. #3
    Show me one player who can run 60/3/7 over a sample of 100k hands and still win and I'll show you a super user :P
    [00:29] <daven> dc, why not check turn behind
    [00:30] <DC> daven
    [00:30] <DC> on my hand?
    [00:30] <daven> yep
    [00:30] <DC> because I am drunk
    [00:30] <daven> nice reason
    [00:30] <daven> no further questions
    [00:30] <yaawn> ^^Lol

    Problem officer...?
  4. #4
    well that's gonna be kinda hard cause i don't have nearly that many hands on any one person.
  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by littleogre View Post
    well that's gonna be kinda hard cause i don't have nearly that many hands on any one person.
    So to define one of these players with fishy stats as a winner, what kind of sample do you think is suitable?
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Dex View Post
    So to define one of these players with fishy stats as a winner, what kind of sample do you think is suitable?
    well i think you need even more then 100k hands to be accurate at the same time though i think you can figure out if a person is a donk using a much smaller sample. If villain is 30/5/2 over a 1k sample we may not know his true win rate. We can however deduce that he is a calling station. So yes when i see a person makeing 10bb/100 playing 50/2 it could very well be variance.
  7. #7
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    Small sample size, their opponents sucking worse than they do, etc.
  8. #8
    Use PokerTableRatings, or some such for the sample.

    I really doubt there are all that many (perhaps none) players who run 60/10 with a sample size big enough to be sure about winrate positivity. I think you'd need a winrate of at least 1BB/100 over half a million hands to be sure beyond a reasonable doubt that such a player is winning. Players who run like that tend to be 1 or 2 tabling for less than a handful of hours a week.

    I hear that there are some really solid winning players at mid stakes who run like 35/10/4.0, doing so mainly to exploit HUD using taggs, but 60/10 at microstakes isn't a winning formula.
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by DJJunkPauds View Post
    Use PokerTableRatings, or some such for the sample.

    I really doubt there are all that many (perhaps none) players who run 60/10 with a sample size big enough to be sure about winrate positivity. I think you'd need a winrate of at least 1BB/100 over half a million hands to be sure beyond a reasonable doubt that such a player is winning. Players who run like that tend to be 1 or 2 tabling for less than a handful of hours a week.

    I hear that there are some really solid winning players at mid stakes who run like 35/10/4.0, doing so mainly to exploit HUD using taggs, but 60/10 at microstakes isn't a winning formula.
    yeaaa no.

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