My set hunting stats on the Flop only.

[celtic123]

I filtered all my pocket pairs at 36,000 hands.Where I hit a set on the flop only. Reguardless of how the hand panned out.

KK and AA Excluded.





I filtered where I missed my set on the flop.

.


Intresting how often I hit ,compared with how often I miss.

This isnt exactly scientific ,
988 missed 173 hit , Thats 17.5%

[spoonitnow]

It's an easy mistake to make, but it's not 173/988, it's 173/(173+988), which is something like 15%. :]

[hhsale]

small distantion I think

[Monty3038]

I think that pretty much falls into set odds, isn't it like 1/8 which is around 12.5%?

[Jason]

I'm not a standard deviation expert but 15% actual versus 11% expected result seems like a decent discrepancy over 1000 hand sample. Consider yourself on the good side of that result over that interval.

[spoonitnow]

I'm not a standard deviation expert but 15% actual versus 11% expected result seems like a decent discrepancy over 1000 hand sample. Consider yourself on the good side of that result over that interval.

It seems that way but it's really not, I promise :]

[knaplek]

It seems that way but it's really not, I promise :]

Really? I get a standard deviation of about 11, putting him in the luckiest 0.1% of the population. Of course I don't know how that sits him in the population subset of people who had such abnormal results they deemed it worthy of posting a thread about it . Maybe I have this wrong, anyone else get a value that makes this less unlikely?

[spoonitnow]

Really? I get a standard deviation of about 11, putting him in the luckiest 0.1% of the population. Of course I don't know how that sits him in the population subset of people who had such abnormal results they deemed it worthy of posting a thread about it . Maybe I have this wrong, anyone else get a value that makes this less unlikely?

Like I said, it's only like a little over 3 standard deviations off (I got 3.32 for about a 0.06% chance), not really a big deal. That's like twice the chance of being dealt a hand from QQ+ two hands in a row.