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These spazzy regs love to F with my delayed cbets
Both players are regs, but the main villain is an 11/7.
Main Villain: 8000 hands
11/7/3.3 with a 3bet of 2.17
Check raise stats on F/T/R
3.65 / 5.88 / 4.35
Based on tight preflop stats, his coldcalling range is PPs and some broadways. I wanted to cbet this flop but decided not to because we're multiway and they're going to be peeling with a wide range and I have essentially air here. My plan for the hand was to check it down or fold to any action, but I hit my set on the turn and bet out for value against the Ah and maybe a K or J
The raise from villain completely surprises me because he's not repping very much but i'm not repping anything either. I look FOS but at the same time he looks FOS as well. Here I believe his range is
1) air (somewhat likely)
2) naked Ah semi bluff (pretty likely)
3) JJ / 66 (though he might lead these hands on the turn)
4) a flopped flush AhQh (i want to say this is likely, but if you think of it theres barely any combos of suited heart broadways in a 11 VPIP's calling range)
A 3bet % of 2% is essentially aces and kings and once in a while AK/QQ thrown into the mix so KK is not in his range since he'll 3bet squeeze to put more money in the pot and see a pot heads up.
I wanted to flat the turn and call any non heart river.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (UTG+1) ($203.50)
MP1 ($52.55)
MP2 ($50)
CO ($67.45)
Button ($14.90)
SB ($84.45)
BB ($52.75)
UTG ($50)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 7 , 7
1 fold, Hero bets $2, 4 folds, SB calls $1.75, BB calls $1.50
Flop: ($6) 6 , J , K (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($6) 7 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $5, 1 fold, BB raises to $15, Hero?
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