Quote Originally Posted by Sir Pawnalot
Analysis

a. The separation of an intellectual or material whole into its constituent parts for individual study.
b. The study of such constituent parts and their interrelationships in making up a whole.
c. A spoken or written presentation of such study: published an analysis of poetic meter.

My disagreement lies herein. We dont know the constituent parts in this instance unless we have great experience with the site and the player base. Therefore we cannot analyse it.

Its like analysing a German poem without reading it. If we have read thousand German poems we can reach a level of understanding which is at best better than guessing. But lets say that 600 of the poems you read were dull you can bet your money on the peom being dull.

If OP has limited experience he is entitled of asking which button to push because he cannot possibly reach that solution with simple deduciton.

We must base our logics on induction and as we all know that is fragile yet useful information. By asking the question he obtains more experience.

A poll would have been very interesting as this is a great way to increase the knowledge about these spots which can be very profitable or costly depending on whether your decision is right or wrong.

I agree with your reasong iopq. Many 7s here.
Holy shit you're making this too complicated, and the main reason is what I've put in bold from the quote above. The missing part is Villain's range, which we never know exactly no matter what our reads or stats are on our opponent, so we're always estimating. He doesn't gain experience by asking the question, he gains experience by analyzing the situation based on various estimates of the range. I outlined one way to analyze the situation above.

What I mean is that OP's question shouldn't be "should I call", but it should be "is ________ a reasonable range to assume?" along with the rest of his analysis. That way his actual thought process can be picked apart and improved, which is what creates experience. What iopq said earlier is basically a rewording of this type of thought process.

Edit: I've come back to clarify what I meant by the bold in the above portion in the quote. It's kind of daunting to try to base some analysis off of what seems to be a shaky range, but here it's the best we can do. If we dive in and try to make estimates and talk about our estimates themselves, then our estimates improve, and that's how we build experience, by getting down and dirty with it.