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Microstakes grinding prop bets, anyone?

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  1. #1
    oskar's Avatar
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    Default Microstakes grinding prop bets, anyone?

    The basic idea is something like 10k hands @ the micros - whoever has the biggest bb/100 at the end wins.

    I think this might create some interesting discussions on what the optimal strategy really is... not just: do like whatever -> profit... which is of course true also.

    I'd be in for $10-100, depending on against whom and how many...
  2. #2
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    10k hands? Enjoy variance -> -3 ptBB/100 and I'll enjoy my variance -> 20ptBB/100
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by iopq
    10k hands? Enjoy variance -> -3 ptBB/100 and I'll enjoy my variance -> 20ptBB/100
    I dont think variance can cover -3ptBB/100 at micros for 10k hands
  4. #4
    we could play different stakes?

    what's the highest stake you consider "micro?"
  5. #5
    So this would be like a 1 day prop bet?
    [04:18] <+Bbickes> do u has teh agoraphobia?
    [04:18] <+fat> im agressive yes
  6. #6
    might as well just put some coin into a slot machine since 10k hands is not credible in projecting a true win rate.
  7. #7
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    For those of you interested, perhaps upping the antie to 50k or even 100k hands would probably be a real perk towards helping you grind.

    10k hands is kinda silly.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  8. #8
    oskar's Avatar
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    I never intended anyone playing the micros to do this... wouldn't really make sense.

    The only way I'm considering this is for a 3 figure prop bet. Of course it's not projecting a 100% accurate win rate, but that was never the intention. It's just: get a couple of low to mid stakes players back to the micros for a week and see what they can do.

    I'd put a big bet with like 8:1 odds on myself that I'm going to be positive, and smaller bets for like 10bb+, 25bb+... - will think about the details if there are any takers.

    I didn't see anybody object to the noob HU tournament because just 3 tables will never show a true winrate... why not play 1500 tables over the course of 10 months - that will show who the best players are.
  9. #9
    meh i doubt it would be worth it for me moneywise to play 10k hands at a lower limit even if i thought i was +EV in the prop bet, unless we did it for like $300+ and i'm not really willinng to bet that much
  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Parasurama
    meh i doubt it would be worth it for me moneywise to play 10k hands at a lower limit even if i thought i was +EV in the prop bet, unless we did it for like $300+ and i'm not really willinng to bet that much
    100k hands prop-bet para? between 50nl and 200nl?
  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZwiFT
    Quote Originally Posted by iopq
    10k hands? Enjoy variance -> -3 ptBB/100 and I'll enjoy my variance -> 20ptBB/100
    I dont think variance can cover -3ptBB/100 at micros for 10k hands
    You've never had variance
  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by daven
    Quote Originally Posted by Parasurama
    meh i doubt it would be worth it for me moneywise to play 10k hands at a lower limit even if i thought i was +EV in the prop bet, unless we did it for like $300+ and i'm not really willinng to bet that much
    100k hands prop-bet para? between 50nl and 200nl?
    maybe, pm me with terms. i'm not sure bb/100 would be fair for you because i'm playing 6max.

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