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i've been thinking about this hand.
I actually think this is a very very tough spot and very likely a fold. The truth is, we aren't very high in our range at all I don't think. We'd probably never get to this river with less than 99, and we can definitely have JJ, and I personally can have QQ+ here with some small >5% frequency. So in that light TT is probably in the bottom 50% of your range for sure.
He's shoving 1500 into 1000, so we need to fold 66% of the time for his shove with air to show a profit. From a game theoretical-optimal standpoint TT is a fold and JJ is a call, i'd estimate.
The other problem is that there is a massive amount of legitimate hands in his range. KTs+ KQ+ 22 QQ+, thats a lot of combinations of hands which, as we all know, allows him to bluff a lot of combinations of air before we can do shit about it.
I fold, call JJ+.
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