pokerstove, to me, is useful in that it "teaches" me whether i was right/wrong in a decision. that helps future decisions in similar situations.
to OP. this gets me in a lot of trouble here at FTR, but i
fold most times. AK sucks when you
miss the flop, and against someone willing to
push, you cant feel good when you miss, especially, with no more betting/bluffing possible.
marginal situations, to me, are to be avoided in ring games. save your "super calls" for when you have the advantage, most likely.
you "lose" so little by folding, and have no way of knowing if you will win 50% of the time by calling...why risk it? what we KNOW: 1) he would do this with
JJ+...bad for us. 2) he would do this with AJ+..good for us provided we have SEEN him do this. 3) any
pp has us beat...bad. 4) any two unpaired under us we are 65/35...good, but is that an
edge you want to risk your
stack on?
more on point 4... theoretically, yes, you would risk your
stack on a 60/40 or 65/35 all day long...but how often do they come up? with this guy? how often is it a
rock? a
TAG...that wont do this with 9Ts?
you would have to play poker A LONG TIME,
imo, to get this situation often enough against a wide enough
range to see the results pan out over
variance. you could get lucky, but again why risk it now when you can wait for a better
spot?
in a tourney, this situation is completely different.
although, the others are prolly right, mathematically, with the EV calculations, its just not something i want to get mixed up in...math or not.
fold.
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