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flush flop - what to do with my set?

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  1. #1

    Default flush flop - what to do with my set?

    Second orbit at this table, no reads on opponents.

    Some may state I should have raised my pair pre-flop since I was CO, but I never feel very comfortable raising pocket pairs lower than 99/TT so I decided just to limp in.

    The flop showed cards I really didn't want to see but I didn't want to lay down my cards immediately. I thought about the chance of appr. 35% to improve my set and so take down a nice pot.

    My question now is if I understood the concept of implied odds correctly?

    Facing a c/r on the flop I thought that at least of one of the opponets had the flush and so I would have been able to stack him with an improved hand.

    What would you have done in this situation?

    No-Limit Hold'em, 0.05/0.1 $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    UTG ($7.61)
    UTG+1 ($11.90)
    MP1 ($7.36)
    MP2 ($2)
    MP3 ($1.90)
    Hero ($11.20)
    Button ($12.82)
    SB ($12.17)
    BB ($10.15)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 7, 7. SB posts a blind of $0.05.
    UTG calls $0.10, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, BB checks.

    Flop: ($0.45) 7, K, 9 (4 players)
    BB checks, UTG checks, MP1 bets $0.3, Hero calls $0.30, BB raises to $1, UTG calls $1, MP1 folds, Hero ?


    Thank you in advance.
  2. #2
    This is an intersting question. I think I would probably call in this situation and watch the turn drop. If it pairs the board you are great, if it doesn't I might think you are still probably good. If the player flopped a flush he would not be raising and most likely would like to keep the pot multi-way. He could be sitting on a low flush and does not want to see another diamond drop. He also could be on a two pair.
    Flopping quads and boats like its my job
  3. #3
    Raise MP1's bet, if you are 3-bet on the flop by BB then, call unless the bet is huge, and you'll probably be paid off is board pairs I guess.
  4. #4
    A very interesting hand. And a tough situation actually. What you really fear here is that one opponent has a flush and the other has 2pair. If one has K9 and the other a flush, you are only about 10%, needing a 7 or for the river to pair the turn card. Having 2 opponents in makes this a murky situation and I am quite curious what the more experienced NL players think about this. I would say call since you close the action and will have position. The big question is what do you do facing a big turn bet? Even if you fill up you can't be very happy given the flop action.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by Iwind
    Raise MP1's bet...
    My intention not to raise MP 1's bet was to get a cheap turn card because at this moment I was pretty sure that I would need some help and the chance to improve my set is appr. 15% from flop to turn (appr. 22% from turn to river).
  6. #6
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    You played it fine, just call. Call a turn bet unimproved if you get odds for it.

    No reason to overcomplicate this, it's 10nl.
  7. #7
    Preflop: Limping is OK
    Flop: I would reraise MP1's raise. Two players had already checked, the only made hand that makes any sense in checking is Axd, and even in that case I would bet it. So by the time the action got to you - check, check, bet by MP there is a decent chance you have the best hand - the one thing you dont want is a 4th diamond hitting, so reraise the flop.

    As played the CR by BB is very troubling, I would call and hoep the board pairs


  8. #8
    I raise too in that situation. I don't see a flush being played like this. Maybe someone's holding the Ad, but I don't see someone working a flush like that. In my opinion, it looks like you got one person drawing to a flush at worst, the other one's sitting on a king.

    I'm raising to get what i see as a flush draw out, probably checking the turn to hope the king improves and raising a bet / betting the river. If either one calls another raise (or both do), I fold to a bet and let them go at it (unless the board pairs).
  9. #9
    Thanks for your comments. When the turn card was dealt I decided not to change the gears since BB and UTG were stacking themselves and I didn't want to give them a reason to think about what was going on.

    Hypothetical question:
    I raise MP 1's bet to $ 1 and BB raises to $ x. How big can X be so that I still have the (implied) odds to call the raise? About $2.00 - 2.50 ? Is there a change if UTG calls BB's raise since the effective stack now is smaller?



    No-Limit Hold'em, $ 0.05/0.1 BB (9 handed)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 7, 7. SB posts a blind of $0.05.
    UTG calls $0.10, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, BB checks.

    Flop: ($0.45) 7, K, 9 (4 players)
    BB checks, UTG checks, MP1 bets $0.3, Hero calls $0.30, BB raises to $1, UTG calls $1, MP1 folds, Hero calls $0.70.

    Turn: ($3.75) 7 (3 players)
    BB bets $2, UTG calls $2, Hero calls $2.

    River: ($9.75) 4 (3 players)
    BB bets $5, UTG calls $4.61 (All-In), Hero raises to $8.20 (All-In), BB calls $2.15 (All-In).

    Final Pot: $ 28.01
    $1.05 from side pot #2
    $4.83 from side pot #1
    $22.13 from the main pot

    Results:
    BB shows [ Ad, 2d ]a flush, Ace high.
    UTG shows [ Qd, 4d ]a flush, King high.
    Hero shows [ 7c, 7h ]four of a kind, Sevens.
  10. #10
    Hypothetical question:
    I raise MP 1's bet to $ 1 and BB raises to $ x. How big can X be so that I still have the (implied) odds to call the raise? About $2.00 - 2.50 ? Is there a change if UTG calls BB's raise since the effective stack now is smaller?
    There are different variables that affect the decision, but the logic is the following:
    Assuming MP1 folds, and assuming we are behind and BB has a made flush:
    You have 7 outs (14% to improve) on the turn and 10 outs (20% to improve) by the river after the turn.
    Assuming he will call your push if you hit then
    0.35*(min(your stack, his stack) + current pot) > min(your stack, his stack) to be correct.
    Alternatively assuming his raise is X, if X < 0.14(current pot) you should also call

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