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Implied odds here?

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  1. #1

    Default Implied odds here?

    Please help me think through this hand.

    Assume even ~100BB stacks all around. 25NL full ring. No reads.

    We get AdQh in CO.

    MP3 limps, I raise to $1.25, BB calls, MP3 calls.

    3 players, pot ~$3.90
    Flop JcTc5s

    BB bets $1, MP3 calls, I call [I considered folding with the 2 suited flop and 2 others interested and only ~6:1 pot odds but such a small bet in a growing pot with 3 only outs to the nuts. If I I call and turn a non-club A or Q I'll reassess, possibly call if the action stays weak. OK to call that and see the turn?

    Turn 6h. Pot ~$6.90

    BB bets $2, MP3 calls. Do you call here? ~6:1 pot odds, 3 non-club Kings are my only clean outs. Wimpy action so I may not get paid off even if I hit. If the Kc hits-- call up to 1/2 pot, but fold to any bet/raise action?

    Alternately, if the turn is Kh with the same turn action-- what do you do? We stayed in without proper pot odds, hit the nuts but can still be outdrawn (because everyone freaking stays in with 6 high flush draws at this site/level). We have to raise but to how much? Pot is $10.90, $2 to call, ~$13 total pot if I just call so make it $13 to go (raise $11)? How would you size the bet when the lead bet is so small?
  2. #2
    I usually call this flop but fold if I miss on the turn.

    If you hit on the turn you have 2 streets to raise and extract value aswell as charging flush chasers if noone has a made hand.

    If you hit on the river the flush draws cant pay you off anymore and weaker made hands will only have to pay 1 streets worth of raise so implied odds here are MUCH smaller.


    If I hit on the turn Ill Raise to about $10. Pot is $10.90, $2 to call, ~$13 total pot if I make it $10 he will have to call $8 more into a $20.90 pot. Thats big enough to not worry too much about laying down if the flush card comes.

    Given the action I think a set is extremely unlikely so we dont have to worry about the board pairing too much. Obviously if we get reraised we can re-evaluate (and make another raise or push).
    gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

    bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
  3. #3

    Default Re: Implied odds here?

    Quote Originally Posted by drtofu66
    We stayed in without proper pot odds, hit the nuts but can still be outdrawn
    This seems as good a reason to fold as any... save yourself the headache on a marginal hand, there will be other hands.
    Also i noticed you used the word "wimpy", forgive me if i read too much into this, but you should try to play without emotion or ego.
    Success is how high you bounce after hitting bottom.


    IslandGrinder
  4. #4
    IMO you cant be using implied odds for tptk/2nd tk + flop bet was so weak that im pretty sure even if the K hit for your str8 you're probably not going to get paid off unless someone flopped a set/top 2 pair

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