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 Originally Posted by strawman
 Originally Posted by sandstorm
I don't really get the question, but if you belive you are behind on the flop, but have 14 outs, you have a 51% of hitting by the river. However, all of them are not certain to win for you, and your opponent might improve more that you do.
Gotta love my connection dying after a long post... You might have answered my question however vague it was. Assuming this situation: KcKs vs 8s7s
Flop:
2s 4s Qc
6c 10c 4d
6c 9d Ah
8d 9d Ah
8d 6s 9s
The first four I know the Kings are slightly ahead and the last one they would be slightly behind if all the money goes in on the flop. So I' m curious if a quick rule of thumb might be a hand with an inside straight and flush draw would be approximately even money going in on the flop. Not guaranteed to win I understand but about a coin flip.
Last example.
Kh 6s 9s
Is this approximatly an even money situation. 9 outs for the flush and 6 for the straight against 10 for quads or boat.
One slight edit. I think the above is a misstatement since the kings don't have to improve at this point whereas the draw does.
For that hand:
Code:
Board: 2s 4s Qc
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 67.9798 % 67.98% 00.00% { KcKs }
Hand 2: 32.0202 % 32.02% 00.00% { 8s7s }
Board: 6c Tc 4d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 67.5758 % 67.58% 00.00% { KcKs }
Hand 2: 32.4242 % 32.42% 00.00% { 8s7s }
Board: 6c 9d Ah
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 65.7576 % 65.76% 00.00% { KcKs }
Hand 2: 34.2424 % 34.24% 00.00% { 8s7s }
Board: 8d 9d Ah
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 76.7677 % 76.77% 00.00% { KcKs }
Hand 2: 23.2323 % 23.23% 00.00% { 8s7s }
Board: 6s 9s 8d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 38.0808 % 37.17% 00.91% { KcKs }
Hand 2: 61.9192 % 61.01% 00.91% { 8s7s }
So, the first 3 hands the Kings are a 2:1 favorite post flop.
The fourth hand, the Kings are a 3:1 favorite post flop.
The fifth hand the Kings are a 1.64:1 underdog.
Go download PokerStove and run all the simulations you want.
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