4NL - AQs facing turn donk

[maverick007]

Dont have reads on the villain. But he looked like a decent player. Didnt see him make any crazy plays.

Stats - 19/12 (from PT3 during my review session)


Cake Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (8 handed) - Cake-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($0.96)
MP2 ($3.88)
CO ($5.48)
Hero (Button) ($4.82)
SB ($3.78)
BB ($4.20)
UTG ($8.15)
UTG+1 ($4)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, Q
4 folds, CO calls $0.04, Hero bets $0.16, SB calls $0.14, BB calls $0.12, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.52) 7, A, 10 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.35, 1 fold, BB calls $0.35

Turn: ($1.22) J (2 players)
BB bets $0.61, Hero??

[OngBonga]

Ugly turn. Guess I call but I'm really not happy about it. Not really sure what rivers we like other than a clean K obv, and even then we don't get paid often. Guess he has lots of Axss so we should be ok to call this size bet.

[Arjonius]

I think a guy with stats in the 19/12 range might fold a fair number of Ax hand pre-, meaning A decent kicker and Ax suited are more probable that A rag. Plus this is someone who limps or calls pre- 1/3 of the time. Since he's normally not aggressive, when he check-calls the flop then donks the turn, his range looks weighted toward holdings that beat AQ - AJ, AT, sets, maybe A7. He could have Ax of spades, but I think we're still well behind his range.

[postiga]

Call and re-evaluate in river...

[MadMojoMonkey]

Pre-evaluate best/worst river cards, then Call and re-evaluate in river...

FYP

[supa]

He's probably not betting 1/2 pot here without some sort of draw. Calling allows him price himself in perfectly. Raising is ugly and folding is awful.

Honestly I think there are only a few hands he does this here with that beat us so probably raising > calling > folding. Which sounds stupid in my head as I'm writing this but I think it's right so :P

[supa]

I love that the above might have been so stupid that no one knew how to respond. Dammit I miss Bikes and crew.

I've revised my thought process to raising > folding > calling.