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[10NL] JJ B/F or C/F the river?
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
SB: $11.20 (112 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $56.72 (567.2 bb)
UTG+2: $26.81 (268.1 bb)
MP1: $43.12 (431.2 bb)
Hero (MP2): $25.72 (257.2 bb)
MP3: $59.92 (599.2 bb)
CO: $23.63 (236.3 bb)
BTN: $26.74 (267.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J J
2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.80, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.80, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.50
Flop: ($2.73) 8 3 5 (3 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50, MP1 folds
Turn: ($5.73) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.20, CO calls $3.20
River: ($12.13) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $6.70, CO calls $6.70
Villain is a 26/2, 0 3bet over 120. Also, 26% fold to Cbet.
Okay so I figure villain has something like 33, 55, 88+, a whole stupid load of FD's, maybe some 67 sometimes, and some silly 8's and 5's. Against this range I have like roughly 48%.
So, do I B/F or C/F? I think C/C is out of the question as anything I beat would prolly check behind. B/F has its merits in that I can get value from like 99-TT, silly 8s and 5s. He folds most of his straight draws besides 64 which got there but I can't see him having that all that often.
I guess the real question is do you guys think his range is super weighted towards flushes?
Also how's the sizings?
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