Live hand, AKs gets min3bet

[fjuanl]

Hey! So I just played a live $125 bounty tournament and this hand came up.

Blinds: 500/1000, 100 ante. 10 handed. 300+ entrants, far away from the money

Me (UTG): about 23k
Villain (MP1): He has around 40k. Older guy in his late 50s with grey hair. He just moved to the table like 5 hands ago and limp/folded to a raise earlier. I haven't been in any pots since he sat down.

My hand: AdKd

I raise to 2500, villain makes it 5000.

What do you do?

[KoRnholio]

All in. Even the blue hairs play pretty looser in bounty tournies. He'll snap call AJ/AQ trying to knock you out. Maybe even worse hands, KQs, AT

[donkbee]

He'll snap call AJ/AQ trying to knock you out. Maybe even worse hands, KQs, AT

standard live players as described by fjuanl's post almost never min 3bet these hands, though.

I feel like this is a pretty gross spot. I would probably shove and get snap called by KK+

[donkbee]

Shoving seems bad though. Flatting seems better to me.

paging live pro drmcboy to thread, plz

[Nakamura]

The raise size and Hero's position/Villain's position makes me want to flat in this spot.

[KoRnholio]

standard live players as described by fjuanl's post almost never min 3bet these hands, though.

I find most villains in live poker have horrendous raise sizing, especially in tournaments.

I also think that the bounty effect is quite large. People seem to gamble much more if they have the larger stack and a chance to knock someone out.

And just because he is old and is running 20/0 over 5 hands, I don't think we can label him a total nit. I just can't find a fold with an M of 9 while holding AKs oop, with a chance to get all the money in.

[chardrian]

I often shove too, but it isn't to get him to fold the unlikely AQ- that he rarely has (he would likely call with those hands pre), it is to get him to fold his JJ and QQ that he very often has. Because you are OOP, this is also a very very good spot to set up the go'n'go by re-minraising. Unless he has exactly AA (which is definitely part of his range) it will set the fear of god into an old nit and might even get him to fold KK postflop. You also will often get him to fold an AK that you are chopping with.

[baudib]

I'd fold and it's not close imo.

[KoRnholio]

I'd fold and it's not close imo.

Even in a bounty tournament? Personally, I have seen some fairly nitty players open up/gamble a fair bit when they have the chance to knock someone out. I don't think we can take AQ out of this guy's min 3bet/calling all in range.

[chardrian]

I'd fold and it's not close imo.

There's no way a snap fold w/AKS with 23 BBs and antes versus an opp who has only played 5 hands can be correct just because he minraised us preflop.

We need somewhere just over 40% equity to breakeven here presuming our opp calls everytime. 20.5/48.5= 42.2%. His range has to be tighter than QQ+/AK for the fold to be correct here. I don't see how you can range that tightly based on age only.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.904% 22.62% 19.28% 32535636 27736416.00 { AKs }
Hand 1: 58.096% 38.81% 19.28% 55825068 27736416.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

[drmcboy]

All options have merit. sometimes the old nits with do this with smaller pairs than you would think, then turn them into bluffs post. It is a good concept although they are doing it for the wrong reasons with the wrong hands.

I'd probably flat, but actually char's go and go idea is likely best. shoving/folding is OK too, we don't really have any good options.

[baudib]

I don't see how you can range that tightly based on age only.

I'll base it on age and race then. If it's an Asian or Russian guy I'd shove, otherwise fold.

[chardrian]

meh - I'm just rarely, if ever, folding AKs with less than 25 BBs.

[drmcboy]

I'll base it on age and race then. If it's an Asian guy with little/no accent, or European guy I'd shove, otherwise fold.

fyp! legit Asian old guys are always nits, and folding versus for example a frenchman would be criminal.

[baudib]

fyp! legit Asian old guys are always nits, and folding versus for example a frenchman would be criminal.

Maybe they grow Asians differently where you are. There are Asian nits and LAGs of any age but in my experience you are far more likely to find a 55+ year-old Asian guy who has some random lucky hand like 42s that he plays like Aces than a white/African-American guy the same age.

[drmcboy]

nothing grows in the desert

[KoRnholio]

fyp! legit Asian old guys are always nits, and folding versus for example a frenchman would be criminal.

There is a proportional relationship between Asian old guy lagginess and the amount of fake and/or real gold jewellery they wear. FACT.

[Numbr2intheWorld]

meh - I'm just rarely, if ever, folding AKs with less than 25 BBs.

lol

But yeah you don't fold here. Like chards small 3bet line or a call.