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QQ vs semiwet board + nit

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  1. #1

    Default QQ vs semiwet board + nit

    opp is 11/6 over 90 hands

    Cake Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Cake-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($14.77)
    SB ($3.58)
    BB ($9.99)
    UTG ($9.17)
    Hero (MP1) ($9.32)
    MP2 ($14.01)
    CO ($9.80)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q, Q
    1 fold, Hero bets $0.40, MP2 calls $0.40, 1 fold, Button calls $0.40, 2 folds

    Flop: ($1.35) 3, J, 10 (3 players)
    Hero bets $0.70, MP2 calls $0.70, Button raises to $1.80, Hero raises to $5, 1 fold, Button raises to $14.37 (All-In),

    Hero ?
    http://zorkion.blogspot.com/
    Letting the Cards Fall - Tracking my progress in the pursuit of profitability.
  2. #2
    supa's Avatar
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    Without better reads... folds.

    *edit* hero's stack size sucks, might be closer than I think.
    Last edited by supa; 08-18-2011 at 01:45 AM.
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  3. #3
    Well once you 3bet and commit half your stack, you can't fold. But I wouldn't be 3betting and probably bet/folding flop. I'd also make your flop bet bigger like somewhere around $1.
  4. #4
    seems like an easy b/f on the flop
  5. #5
    are you not expecting aj to raise here?
    http://zorkion.blogspot.com/
    Letting the Cards Fall - Tracking my progress in the pursuit of profitability.
  6. #6
    not really without reads or knowing that mp2 is a pretty big fish/you have some weird metagame with him
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Zorkion View Post
    are you not expecting aj to raise here?
    If AJ is raising here I would expect a bigger raise.

    You bet 70, there is a caller, he basically min raises. He's taking you to value town with his set because he knows you have to call if you have anything at all.

    Never underestimate a small re-raise, it's more often the nuts than not. (As opposed to a min / small donk bet or cbet which you should solidly raise with almost ATC that saw the flop).
    Last edited by The Norg; 08-18-2011 at 05:42 AM.
  8. #8
    I think this is a really close one.

    You have to call 3.22 for a pot of 10.27, which gives you pot odds of 3.1:1.
    If you epect him to do this with JJ, TT and JT only, your Odds are 3:1 against you, which means it would be a little +EV, but if you add the rake, it's a fold.
    Code:
    Board: 3h Jd Tc
    Dead:  
    
    	equity 	win 	tie 	      pots won 	pots tied	
    Hand 0: 	25.089%  	25.09% 	00.00% 	          3229 	        0.00   { QdQs }
    Hand 1: 	74.911%  	74.91% 	00.00% 	          9641 	        0.00   { JcJs, TT, JTs, JTo }
    But if you add only AJs, it becomes a clear call, with odds of ~2:1 against you.
    Code:
    Board: 3h Jd Tc
    Dead:  
    
    	equity 	win 	tie 	      pots won 	pots tied	
    Hand 0: 	34.880%  	34.88% 	00.00% 	          5525 	        0.00   { QdQs }
    Hand 1: 	65.120%  	65.12% 	00.00% 	         10315 	        0.00   { JcJs, TT, AJs, JTs, JTo }
    I hope I got my math right...
  9. #9
    bikes's Avatar
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    what did you expect to happen when you chose to 3 ball the flop to that sizing?

    ?wut
  10. #10
    rpm's Avatar
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    bet bigger on flop. at least $0.9 imo. as played i'm probably folding to the flop raise. but if i do 3bet it, i'm never folding.
  11. #11
    Shotglass's Avatar
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    Why 3bet the flop unless you're planning to go to the felt?
  12. #12
    that said, i wouldnt 3bet that spot unless i was planning to felt. i guess my question was more on the line i took than the all-in decision
    http://zorkion.blogspot.com/
    Letting the Cards Fall - Tracking my progress in the pursuit of profitability.
  13. #13
    bikes's Avatar
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    not a fan

    ?wut

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