AK misses flop and villain bets really small

[iLike]

Villain was 47/9 over small sample.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
SB ($1.99)
BB ($6.12)
UTG ($4.50)
UTG+1 ($5.02)
CO ($5.07)
Hero ($4.94)

Dealt to Hero A K

fold, UTG+1 calls $0.04, CO raises to $0.12, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $0.28

FLOP ($0.90) J 4 6

CO bets $0.20, Hero ???

Usually I'd play fit or fold, but given that villain has really bad stats and bets so small, I'm not sure what to do.

[DoubleJ]

a donkbet from a passive opponent usually means that they've hit something

do you have any other post-flop reads on villain?

[Carroters]

Just raise like you'd normally c bet. He'll fold lots now and T Q K A are prolly all good turn barrel cards. Just don't fold, even flattings not bad.

[DoubleJ]

Hello Coach!

Gettin' any sleep? har har har

So...how are you reading that bet, then?

[Carroters]

As one he can make with his entire continuing range to the 3 bet, or at least the weak part of it for sure. He prolly has air, underpairs and some Jx. I'll put it this way: his range is probably such that folding on the flop here is probably about the same as folding when checked to.

[DoubleJ]

As one he can make with his entire continuing range to the 3 bet...

urg - struggling with this, then

if villain is 47/9, he's raising with {88+,ATs+,KTs+,QJs,AJo+,KQo} from CO, according to 'stove.

how do you refine this into a continuing range, please?

[Carroters]

He's a station so if he does open something like this then just use most of it. It's pretty hard to give you an exact accurate range. but a good estimate is to use most of it based on his stationy nature. These guys don't like to not see flops with a hand they raise pre. Hence since he likely can't fold to 3 bets and his flop line is weak ass and unrefining in most cases, he likely still has a wide range when action gets to us on the flop.

[lolpwnt]

use auto topup

raise flop and take it from there

[celtic123]

Raise it up, if you get to see what he has, take notes.

Ive know 2 regulars at my micro tables with similar stats who donk out smallish like this. One does it most flops regardless, the other does it with 2nd or bottom pair.

[DoubleJ]

...It's pretty hard to give you an exact accurate range....

Thx Carrotz.

yeh, i was more after the thought process than the answer. Can we go over this in detail when you get back, please?

OK, gonna bail now, before i get one of chatzilla's "thread hijack" warnings

[Petulie]

Don't let donks take your cbet away from you. Raise to like 65c. So often you see folds here.

edit: Having thought more about this and given the size of his donk, 75c may be better. Thoughts from some better players?

[supa]

I think it could be easily more like 55c. Realistically we're still just cbetting here and trying to take down the pot, so keeping the raise small can save us some $ if they did hit and inducing with the weak donk.

*edit* this moron isn't inducing so forget about my drunk talk. But yeah, 55c for mostly the same reasons.

[rpm]

a donkbet from a passive opponent usually means that they've hit something

i've actually found the complete opposite. i have noted a lot of recreational fish who blindly donk Ax high and bottom-middle pair in 2b and 3b pots.