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50nl- 2p oop agasint good reg.
Villain is 20/15, positionally aware, 44%cb, seems pretty decent, we don't have any immediate history prior to this hand, he prolly views me as a lag, although I'm just basing that on my stats, idk tbh.
BB is fish.
Cereus Network - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
Hero (SB): $50.00
BB: $45.31
UTG: $56.80
MP: $89.60
CO: $9.00
BTN: $50.70
Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has Q A
fold, MP raises to $1.75, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.50, BB calls $1.25
Flop: ($5.25, 3 players) K K Q
Hero bets $3.50, fold, MP calls $3.50
Turn: ($12.25, 2 players) 6
Hero checks, MP bets $8.12,
So I guess I could 3b pre but I wanted to keep the BB in the hand, also I didn't know what MP's defending range would be like from these positions, so it'd be thin for value imo.
I lead flop coz I wanna get max value from BBs Qx hand, and if I ck it's gonna be really hard for me to get 3streets.
Once I lead here, I think my range is pretty strong, and MP should know this, I guess my range is like JTs, Kx, Qx... thats about it?
When he flats his range is basically the same as mine, I don't expect him to flat with gutters when my range is strong on a board I'm gonna barrel pretty often.
So I ck the turn (mistake?) to let him bluff his JTs... idk wat else he can bet here. Like, does he have any reason to bet QJ/QT? I can't see any value in him betting those hands tbh... And I don't see how we can get 3sts from his QJ hands, I think he folds river most of the time.
So when he bets here his range is polarized between Kx and floats (mainly JTs, maybe he can sometimes have AJ/AT, although I doubt it.) He could also have AQ.
So if he's got more Kx hands than floats this could be a c/f turn?
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