Was this +EV

[PrvtBong]

Im new to EV and dont quite understand it But in This Postion was this +EV. I new this guy to be Very LAG.

Full Tilt - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BB: $3.71
UTG: $2.70
MP: $7.30
Hero (CO): $2.00
BTN: $2.83
SB: $2.00

SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has J A

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.08, fold, fold, BB calls $0.06

Flop: ($0.17, 2 players) A 3 K
BB checks, Hero bets $0.10, BB raises to $0.47, Hero raises to $1.92 and is all-in, BB calls $1.45

Turn: ($4.01, 2 players) 5

River: ($4.01, 2 players) 3

[rpm]

there are a heap of things which need to be known before you can tell if something is +EV.
they are:
- what is his precise range for raising your flop bet?
- what is his precise range for calling your flop shove?
- and once you figure those two out, you're going to need to know how much equity you have against his range for calling your all-in bet. pokerstove can do that for you.

[daviddem]

By far the best place to start understanding EV:
http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ht=mathematics

Read, reread, understand, practice, make calculations about your hand above and post them here.

At the end of reading that, you should figure that your shove is +EV if your equity against his calling range is more than 50% (this is assuming he never folds a hand better than yours).

[Razvan729]

you say this opp is very LAG, some HUD stat would be good if you have them.. any notes/reads on him you have?

anyway, think like this, what could he c/r on flop there?

i would take out AA,KK, AK cause 2nl players mostly 3bet/shove these hands.

since he is LAG , like you say, he could c/r A3,33,AQ FD's and if he is dumb also any Ax, JT, 42,45.by the stack i would say he either got lucky or that he is not a bad player.

if you 3bet him AI what do you think he calls? most sure better and folds worst.

so i would call cause you are IP and reevaluate turn.

[Renton]

b/c flop and call down would be better than this
folding at some point could be better still

[rpm]

At the end of reading that, you should figure that your shove is +EV if your equity against his calling range is more than 50% (this is assuming he never folds a hand better than yours).

his shove can still be +EV if he has <50% versus his calling range, but it won't necessarily have a higher EV than his other options.

[daviddem]

Right. I should have written that shoving has better EV than calling and checking down the hand to showdown if Hero's equity is more than 50% vs villain's calling range (assuming villain never folds a better hand).

[rpm]

yeah. i knew you knew that. but just for clarification for OP etc.

[Donachello]

b/c flop and call down would be better than this
folding at some point could be better still

This.