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I can't decide what to do on river

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  1. #1

    Default I can't decide what to do on river

    Villain is 30/15 over 30 hands

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    BB ($2.15)
    UTG ($2.49)
    MP ($2.46)
    CO ($3.94)
    Hero (Button) ($2.03)
    SB ($1.76)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with K, A
    UTG calls $0.02, 1 fold, CO calls $0.02, Hero bets $0.10, 3 folds, CO calls $0.08

    Flop: ($0.25) 10, J, Q (2 players)
    CO checks, Hero bets $0.20, CO calls $0.20

    Turn: ($0.65) J (2 players)
    CO checks, Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40

    River: ($1.45) A (2 players)
    CO checks, Hero ?

    I think theres lots of Qx and Jx in his range so checking misses a lot of value. At first I want to b/f. But then what if he raises with a king? Lots of kings in his range. I don't feel good about bet/call since i'm not sure about this opponent's tendencies. So go for value, or protect the stack?
  2. #2
    Bet for value. There's a lot of worse hands that a 2nl fish will call with here. Villain never plays like this with better hands unless he's missing a chromosome. Worst case scenario he's got a K for the chop.
    Last edited by StarGrinder; 09-04-2010 at 10:48 PM.
  3. #3
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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    Step 1: Put your opponent on a range.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by StarGrinder View Post
    Bet for value. There's a lot of worse hands that a 2nl fish will call with here. Villain never plays like this with better hands unless he's missing a chromosome. Worst case scenario he's got a K for the chop.
    I think you're right, just because I wouldn't call doesn't mean they wouldn't.
  5. #5
    Just b/f this river for value maybe like 60c, we don't want to make it too big since we need to give the weak hands in his range a decent price, if he raises he'll have a boat almost always, but can still call with 2 pair hands and trips.

    You need to be betting this turn harder, just pot it. He's folding close to 0% of his range on this card and you're actually missing valuye from draws Jx Qx etc etc when you only bet 3/4 pot. The bigger your turn value bet, the better odds you can offer him on the river, since he's never folding this turn, you're aswell going down this route.
    Last edited by Carroters; 09-05-2010 at 08:50 AM.

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