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A rare 25NL triple barrel.
No reads on villain, only 8 hands at the table. He's been open limping though I assume he isn't great.
On the turn I think I fold out his 55-99 type hands and random flats, I also get value from unpaired flush draws.
I was planning to shut down on most rivers only now I think I can fold out AJ QJ and also all the pps that floated 2 streets.
The only hands I'm really afraid of is KhTh, JT, KJ or slow played trips.
FWIW, I hardly ever 3-barrel at these stakes, but felt this was a decent spot. I mean there's always the risk that he can't fold a jack here at all in which case it's pretty bad since when he calls the turn that's probably a good amount of his range. Possibly, I should reserve these sort of plays for when I have a read that he can fold marginal hands.
Btw, I like the turn bet because I feel there's more middling pairs in his range than there is hands with jacks that will call preflop + we get values from fds. JTs-AJs KJo AJo = 32 combos (I think) 44-99 = 31 combos then theres his fds, random floats and the fact that he needs to fold less than half the time for it to be profitable anyway.
Thoughts?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($24.75)
BB ($23.05)
UTG ($27)
Hero (MP) ($25.25)
CO ($53.90)
Button ($11.60)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 4 , 4
1 fold, Hero bets $1, CO calls $1, 3 folds
Flop: ($2.35) 3 , 3 , J (2 players)
Hero bets $1.60, CO calls $1.60
Turn: ($5.55) 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.70, CO calls $3.70
River: ($12.95) K (2 players)
Hero bets $8.10,
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