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10NL : Another turn bet question

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  1. #1

    Default 10NL : Another turn bet question

    (VP$IP/PFR [Street Aggression] 3-bet%)

    SB: 14/6 [3 3 inf] 0%
    over 80 hands

    Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

    UTG: $9.95
    MP: $20.65
    Hero (CO): $10.45
    BTN: $2.80
    SB: $16.05
    BB: $2.00

    Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with 9 J
    2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

    Flop: ($0.70) 8 7 7 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50

    Turn: ($1.70) 9 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB raises to $2.40, Hero folds
  2. #2
    Ragnar4's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
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    You don't think your flush draw is good ever?
    It's certainly good less often,
    Also you don't think your straight draw is good ever?
    it's also good less often.
    You don't think your 9 is good

    Even with all the clean/dirty outs, you don't think it's worth it to peel and check/call?
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  3. #3
    So the bet/fold line is right ?
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Evilpopcorn
    So the bet/fold line is right ?
    I would fold preflop. If not, I'd check behind on the flop for pot control and to see if your draws hit.

    As played, I like the Turn bet/fold line.

    Disclaimer: 5NL noob
    Explain...what I do for a living without saying "I make monies in da 600 enels by pwnin' tha donk bitches". Instead I say "I'm a online financial redistribution broker". - Sasquach991
  5. #5
    About that cbet:

    Let's say we had a better sample and his stats were in fact 14/6. That means he's limp/calling 8% of hands. So say he's raising AQ+, 99+ or w/e, what's this 8% mostly made up of? Probably broadway hands, PPs, and to a lesser extent, SCs. Is he folding overcards and/or PPs near that often on this flop? Often enough for this to be profitable?
    Ich grolle nicht...
  6. #6
    Join Date
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up
    you bought a free turn card. Take it.
    Check turn behind - you have a small-pot hand and so many draws hit
  7. #7
    bjsaust's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2007
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    I much prefer to check behind turn than to b/f here.
    Just dipping my toes back in.

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