|
I happen to play a lot at these stakes lately and to be honest, this would be a tough call. I have layed down KK pre-flop before and I believe correctly and have seen other pots where I definitely would have folded and have seen it showdown to confirm my suspicions. Basically, there are several players at these stakes who LOVE to get AA pre-flop and push. In fact, Dustin talked about implementing a similar strategy in his operation. Having reads on a player is pretty critical. Any player with a VPIP% less than 10% is a prime candidate and you should proceed with the utmost caution. If the player is pretty loose and has been seen pushing once or more before, then it's probably worth going along for the ride. But, the crux of the problem is that most sane players at all levels with a decent stack are only going to want to push pre-flop with two hands - AA and KK. If you have the KK, odds are he has aces. And, Phil Gordon has said that the 3rd large raise is almost always aces - especially if it's all-in.
For this hand specifically, I think you had enough information to lay it down. For starters, villain raised 6x the blind - that's a pretty big raise from any position, but especially early position. I think I would have been content just to see a flop, maybe hit a set and then destack him. But, you chose to raise, which is fine, too, but then he pushes. Your read on him is that he hasn't shown down after 50 hands, VPIP% of 30%, and 6% pf raise - all of that is more evidence he has aces. He's not ultra-tight, but only slightly loose. He hasn't gone to showdown because he doesn't want to unless he has the best hand. He hasn't been raising much pre-flop and all of the sudden he 4 bets all-in.
Maybe my opinion will change as I move up, but for the stakes I've been playing, my opinion at the moment is that I just don't feel the need to try to gamble in situations like these. If I get my money all in with a good stack. I want it to be because I'm confident I have the edge. Don't get me wrong, I don't fold KK often pre-flop, but there definitely can be times where it needs to be done and knowing your villain is biggest piece of the puzzle.
|