200NL: seta jacks vs shorty maniac on turrrrrrrible board

[d0zer]

v 70/30 over 30.

Anyone think I'm ahead enough here to justify a river call?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($223.40)
MP3 ($45.65)
CO ($89.25)
Button ($209.35)
SB ($133.70)
BB ($98.85)
UTG ($266.45)
Hero ($225.90)
MP1 ($200)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with J, J.
1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 3 folds, CO calls $8, 3 folds.

Flop: ($19) A, J, Q (2 players)
Hero bets $14, CO calls $14.

Turn: ($47) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $14, Hero calls $14.

River: ($75) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $53.25 (All-In), Hero ...

[Fnord]

Easy call

[spoonitnow]

Easy call

I agree with Fnord on this one.

[d0zer]

Yeah it didn't take me long to call.

I've been making a bunch of bad calls lately so...yeah...coolers still fuck with my mind etc... blah blah ignore me.

THREAD FIN

[Deanglow]

ummm i don't think this is an easy call and would probably fold river

[d0zer]

ummm i don't think this is an easy call and would probably fold river

I suspected we'd have a dissenting voice. Perhaps my thread termination request was a little hasty?

We're getting decent odds and there's lots of 2pr/top pair hands in villain's range, not to mention bluffs. If the river comes a 2-7 does that change your mind?

[nutsinho]

do you have any postflop reads? seems like a fold since he wont need to bluff with much of his range.

[BankItDrew]

<~~~~ this nitty bot folds

[Deanglow]

The majority of his range on the flop is pair+SD (ie a king) and everything else would most likely check through with its showdown value. I need a special read more than a 30 hand sample to call

[reprisal]

Small bet, Big bet seems to be strong a lot of the time. No post flop reads yet? Should have a good idea just how stupid this guy is after 30 hands which will make it easy to decide.

[aka_red]

i think this is a pretty terrible call. k/9 > JJ.
i feel like if you thought u were ahead here enough you should have just got it in on the turn.