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A/Q Late Position

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  1. #1

    Default A/Q Late Position

    Am i beat here? ... no reads on opponent...

    Hand #42331775-49545 at Akbar (No Limit Hold'em)
    Started at 04/Jul/07 23:23:43

    tmachine is at seat 0 with $45.85.
    WCFields is at seat 1 with $24.25.
    HERO is at seat 2 with $51.40.
    woejoe05 is at seat 3 with $54.25 (sitting out).
    jonnyocean is at seat 4 with $58.40.
    coldoutside is at seat 5 with $33.50.
    FortuneFool is at seat 6 with $49.50.
    stlmm is at seat 7 with $22.60.
    IMBLUFFING is at seat 8 with $23.75.
    Pakboong is at seat 9 with $58.50.
    The button is at seat 2.

    jonnyocean posts the small blind of $.25.
    coldoutside posts the big blind of $.50.

    tmachine: -- --
    WCFields: -- --
    HERO: Qd Ad
    jonnyocean: -- --
    coldoutside: -- --
    FortuneFool: -- --
    stlmm: -- --
    IMBLUFFING: -- --
    Pakboong: -- --

    Pre-flop:

    FortuneFool calls. stlmm folds. IMBLUFFING folds.
    Pakboong folds. tmachine folds. WCFields folds.
    HERO raises to $2.50. jonnyocean calls.
    coldoutside folds. FortuneFool calls.

    Flop (board: As Ks Kd):

    jonnyocean bets $8. FortuneFool folds. HERO
    raises to $19. jonnyocean calls.

    Turn (board: As Ks Kd 8d):

    jonnyocean goes all-in for $36.90. HERO goes
    all-in for $29.90. jonnyocean is returned $7
    (uncalled).

    River (board: As Ks Kd 8d 2h):

    (no action in this round)
  2. #2
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    I think villain has a king 90% of the time in this spot. You showed strength both preflop and on the flop, yet villain still pushes turn for the remaining 2/3 of their stack.

    Let's see is you have enough outs to call:

    2 Aces + 8 diamonds = 11 outs (22%). This is best case scenerio, in that villain has Kx and hasn't boated yet.

    Pot at time of push is $72 (considering rake), and you need to invest another $30. To show a profitable call, you need to win the pot on the river GREATER than 1 in 3.4 opportunities (29%). Pending a good read and a certainty that villain has a king and has yet to boat, this is a no call. If you think villain can be bluffing, the 29% will drop closer to 22%.

    Or, maybe he's drawing dead.
  3. #3
    XTR1000's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2006
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    surfing in a room
    you´re wa/wb on this flop, villians overbet doesn´t make any sense and when u raise him u atually decide to felt on turn. i´d call the flop, fold to turn shove, take a cheap sd.
    Quote Originally Posted by bigred View Post
    xtr stand for exotic tranny retards
    yo

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