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in case you're still trying to work it out, here's someone who has a degree... you're in luck!
1. how much will you take in?
2. what are you expenses? think rent, wages (bargirls, bouncers, DJs, cleaners whatever), insurance, electricity, water, cost of goods (drinks). Ignore once-off expenses for now
(for some of these things, you'll find it easier thinking in years, for others, in weeks). Just convert everything into 1 year units.
3. what are you once-offs? Anything you have to buy or make that will last. Pool tables? Fixtures and fittings? Glasses and chairs and tables? Probably reasonable to divide by 10 and use that number as your fixed expense per year (it's called depreciating, straight line over 10 years. You can use another method, but that's just my assumption that has no base). For a cash flow projection you'll take it all off straight away.
4. now it's going to grow. Expenses you can assume grows at CPI. Or be more conservative and say 5% a year. Sales, you can project however much growth per year. Then for each year work out your sales and take off all the expenses. That's your profit for each year.
that's basically a crash course in financial projection. If finance is not an issue (i.e. you're rich and you just want to make more) then the profitabiliy is the key. If you have to watch your cash, then you must make a cash flow statement. Most businesses go down due to insufficient cash flow than bad profitability (although bad profitability will usually lead to shit cash flow)
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