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TT - horrible flop - outs and odds

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  1. #1

    Default TT - horrible flop - outs and odds

    Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with T, T.
    1 fold, MP raises, 1 fold, Button calls, Hero 3-bets, 1 fold, MP caps, Button calls, Hero calls.

    Flop: (13 SB) A, K, Q (3 players)
    Hero checks, MP bets, Button calls, Hero calls.

    Turn: (8 BB) 3 (3 players)
    Hero checks, MP bets, Button calls, Hero folds.

    River: (10 BB) 9 (2 players)
    MP bets, Button calls.

    Final Pot: 12 BB

    Results in white below:
    MP has 2c Qc (one pair, queens).
    Button has 9s Jc (one pair, nines).
    Outcome: MP wins 12 BB.


    I didn't have a read on MP yet, button is loose passive. I'm basically positive I'm beat on the flop, but I count 6 outs, 2 tens for a set, and 4 jacks to a straight. So I figured I had the odds to call one on the flop. Did I also have the odds to call one on the turn though?

    Also, should I not be counting the 2 tens as outs since they give any jack a straight?
    PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
  2. #2
    chardrian's Avatar
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    You definitely need to discount your outs since it is very possible that at least one of your opps has the J and it is also somewhat possible that one of your opps has another T (so if your J did hit you would split).

    How much to discount your outs?? Meh - I would give myself 4-5 outs, but I do a lot of this on just pure speculation/implied odds.

    I like how you played it. And I am licking my chops after I see how my opps played it.
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  3. #3
    thenonsequitur's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chardrian
    I would give myself 4-5 outs
    In addition to what was already stated, it's also true that even if you do hit one of your outs that doesn't simultaneously make someone else a better or equal hand, then anyone that flopped or turns two pair (not unlikely given the preflop action) has a small redraw to fill up. So I discount to the low end of this range, 4 outs.

    Quote Originally Posted by chardrian
    I like how you played it. And I am licking my chops after I see how my opps played it.
  4. #4
    NH
  5. #5
    nevermind, i missed the preflop cap.

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