AQs Paired flop - TPGK + Flush draw faces massive overbet

[Pelion]

villain is 24/5 after 21 hands. Trips are unlikely here so wtf does he have and what do I do about it?



Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($50)
MP3 ($78.49)
CO ($8.75)
Button ($63.90)
SB ($80.15)
BB ($68.42)
UTG ($98.75)
Hero ($50)
MP1 ($108.64)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A, Q. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, Hero raises to $2, MP1 calls $2, MP2 calls $2, MP3 calls $2, 1 fold, Button calls $2, SB (poster) calls $1.75, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($14) A, 3, 3 (7 players)
SB checks, BB bets $8, Hero calls $8, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, Button folds, SB folds.

Turn: ($30) 9 (2 players)
BB calls $58.42 (All-In), Hero ???

[Ravageur]

To such a massive overbet, I lay this down reluctantly. With that unreal amount of callers, it's highly likely someone is holding a 3. And in that case you're dead to 9 outs on the river and you're definitely not getting odds.
It does seem ridiculous that someone would play a 3 like this...but I've seen crazier things. In a some odd fish's mind he's greedily rubbing his hands together thinking you have an ace and can't get away from it.

Sidenote : If that many people are regularly calling your raises, I'd start raising it 5 or 6x BB. I can't envision winning many 7-way pots (Not saying you did anything wrong, but damn...that is one tiiiiiight table).

[Pelion]

If that many people are regularly calling your raises, I'd start raising it 5 or 6x BB. I can't envision winning many 7-way pots (Not saying you did anything wrong, but damn...that is one loose? table).

This was the first time one of my raises got more than 1 or 2 callers.

[Miffed22001]

i want to call here, it doesnt make sense.
Lay it down however i think.

[Renton]

i think this is an somewhat easy fold because of the number of players he bet into on the flop.

[Pelion]

Ok. What do you think he has though?

Also do you like the flop call?

[zenbitz]

BB has a 3 here I think. Maybe even A3. Possibly a very aggressive A9, since you are the one guy who DOESN'T have a 3.

If it was K33 then I could see a bluff, but not with the A out.

Raising the flop here is not horrible, especailly if you are not willing to call down with TPGK.

He would have to have a huge read on you to bluff thinking you will lay down an A.

[cardsman1992]

He has 99 and your flush is dead. Want to take a chance on a 2 outer? I would have to fold this.....

Either that or a stone cold bluff, PP that missed and doesn't believe you have an A. I don't have the balls to pick it off, though...

[jackvance]

Easy fold. Be thankful he didn't make you waste more money on a second-best hand.

[Pelion]

Just for the results orientated I called since his play made no sense to me at all and usually when something doesnt make sense to me its a bluff or something i need to make a note of.

He flipped AK and I rivered the flush.

[Miffed22001]

Just for the results orientated I called since his play made no sense to me at all and usually when something doesnt make sense to me its a bluff or something i need to make a note of.

He flipped AK and I rivered the flush.

i can see why you called

Make that note! :P

[WhooFleuryScores]

Not to be results oriented(or not)....

Flop:I think a raise or fold is the move-just calling really doesn't tell a whole lot.If your FD was to the flop then a call is better.

Turn:looks ok.

[IowaSkinsFan]

overbet=strength

[Miffed22001]

overbet=strength

he had tptk, we call that strength?
Why bet all in oop after the flop action, it looks more like protection with fold equity than anything monstorish