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FTR fish pwns me
Just kidding UG - in the heat of the moment I may play it the same.
I didn't raise preflop because half these guys (including UG) are calling and I'm playing AJ in an inflated pot OOP. I know I have the best hand on the flop. Then I'm 75% sure I have the best hand on the turn and UG is drawing. Otherwise he would reraise me unless he feels like taking a risk with a better hand. I discount the latter. One draw completes on the river. Hmmm...he bets the perfect amount not to give his hand away. I pretty much have to call this right? The reason I didn't do a blocking bet is because I posted here earlier on how I do blocking bets in this position on the river. Even if he missed, he may know this and could bluff me off the hand anyway.
When I look at the odds below, I'm happy with how I played it. The river call is debatable. Even though the turn bet was a little weak (going for pot control), it was a higher percentage than the pot odds.
***** Hand History for Game 4346311406 *****
0/0 Texas Hold'em Game Table (NL) - Tue May 23 23:11:03 EDT 2006
Table Table 106633 (No DP) (Real Money) -- Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 1: ToastedMoses ( $341.08)
Seat 2: jandje ( $197)
Seat 3: dk318 ( $38.50)
Seat 4: ttubular ( $317.85)
Seat 5: QBANGUY ( $486.07)
Seat 6: UltimateGW ( $191)
ToastedMoses posts small blind (1)
jandje posts big blind (2)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to jandje [ As, Jh ]
dk318 calls (2)
QBANGUY: disconect protection
ttubular calls (2)
ttubular: oh thanks
QBANGUY calls (2)
UltimateGW calls (2)
ToastedMoses calls (1)
jandje checks.
** Dealing Flop ** : [ 4s, Ad, Qd ]
ToastedMoses checks.
jandje checks.
dk318 checks.
ttubular checks.
QBANGUY bets (4)
UltimateGW calls (4)
ToastedMoses folds.
jandje raises (19) to 19
dk318 folds.
ttubular folds.
QBANGUY calls (15)
UltimateGW calls (15)
** Dealing Turn ** : [ 9c ]
jandje bets (30)
QBANGUY folds.
UltimateGW calls (30)
** Dealing River ** : [ 5d ]
jandje checks.
UltimateGW bets (65)
jandje calls (65)
** Summary **
Main Pot: $256 | Rake: $3
Board: [ 4s Ad Qd 9c 5d ]
jandje balance $81, lost $116 [ As Jh ] [ a pair of aces -- As,Ad,Qd,Jh,9c ]
UltimateGW balance $331, bet $116, collected $256, net +$140 [ Td Jd ] [ a flush, ace high -- Ad,Qd,Jd,Td,5d ]
Odds
-----------------------------------
On the flop:
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Jh 520 52.53 461 46.57 9 0.91 0.530
Jd Td 461 46.57 520 52.53 9 0.91 0.470
On the turn:
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Jh 29 65.91 15 34.09 0 0.00 0.659
Jd Td 15 34.09 29 65.91 0 0.00 0.341
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