Variance is a bitch

[Jay67s]

nl $50
over the last 7000 + hands
I have taken 20 full houses to show down, won 50%
I have taken 15 Flushes to show down, won 67%
and my trips are in negative dollars.

not whinning really, I am about even over this stretch, but I was wondering what these numbers should be "normally"

Really looking forward to getting on the opposite side of this streak.

These numbers can be found in poker tracker, summary tab

[Renton]

nl $50
over the last 7000 + hands
I have taken 20 full houses to show down, won 50%
I have taken 15 Flushes to show down, won 67%
and my trips are in negative dollars.

not whinning really, I am about even over this stretch, but I was wondering what these numbers should be "normally"

Really looking forward to getting on the opposite side of this streak.

These numbers can be found in poker tracker, summary tab

maybe you are slowplaying your big hands too much

[Jay67s]

Its funny you say that, I actually very rarely slowplay. Just running second best. I have seen 1 quad, 2 straight flushes against my full houses in the last 3 days. I also have had set over set against me 3 times in the last two days.

[dpe8598]

Ahhh variance, sweet variance.

[sejje]

I'd give you some stats, but I don't know if mine are relevant. I'm in about the same boat as you, I've had a ridiculous streak with sets losing to runner runner garbage.

I heard somewhere that sets on the flop should win about 80% at the river.

As for the boat stuff, bah. Those should win a ridiculous percentage, even if they're just small pots. I would think something like 90%++

Of the flushes that were shown down with only three flush cards on the board, I would expect to win 85%+ probably?

[underminedsk]

dont worry, definately variance. I'm just (hopfully) pulling out of a similar downswing myself. Last week I flopped set under set 3 times in an hour and a half, good for -$1500. I only had a small portion of my bankroll on that site, and I have been forced to move down stakes to 1/2 temporarily to make sure I dont bust. Just gotta keep grinding away.

[Dislexsik]

Im break even for the last 3 weeks with 6k hands.
Got KK 35 times and won only 47%.
My aces got busted twice with an all in by runner runner flush,and als the same for QQ.
Its all good...as long as i stay break even i dont whine to much.

[Jay67s]

I think posting this was the key. Just won 4 buy in's in 3 hours. I even had a full house hold up against 2 villians all ins. Variance is a bitch.