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math question
hi,
I read a lot about probabilites, pot odds and so on. each poker book is telling you things like:
if your chance is 1 : 10 then you should win every 10th time. Right?
Very wrong.
if your chance is 1 : 10 you should think of it that way:
if you play that odd a 100 times, then you should have about 10 winners, or if you play it 1000 times, then you certainliy will have about 100 winners.
to say: you play it 10 times, then you have 1 winner is a false assumption.
you can check it with a 10 sided dice. Throw it 10 times. it is not certain to say that you have a single "10" . Throw it 100 times, you will get about 10 "10"s.
My point here is: be careful about "false" odd calculations. its all about statistics and probability calculations.
any comments are welcome,
thanks
Brof
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