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 Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp
Heres how my thinking went - If I just call his raise and call his flop bet, thats really no different than if we'd gone all in preflop - either way im hoping my aces hold up while 5 board cards fall. And hopefully then I can induce a bluff or get someone thinking their TPTK is good. Was this good thinking or should I have just played it fast?
I don't think this is logical. If you went allin preflop, that means all you each know is the cards in your hand. Any hand he would call allin with you would be heavy favorite over at this point. However, he could be raising with any two, so it is unlikely he will call a huge reraise preflop.
However, if you give him essentially four free cards, and then he wakes up and makes a big bet, the situation is different. Depending on the board, he could have top pair, or his J7o just made two pair. Either way, now if we look at the hands he would call allin with, given that he showed he liked his hand after seeing 4 more cards worth of data, if you didn't make a set you might be a slight dog.
The reason that the two scenarios aren't the same is the amount of information you both have about your hands, and the information you have on how much the other person likes their hand. Preflop, AA is clearly the best. After 4 cards heads up, given no large betting by your opponent, it is still ahead most of the time. However, lets say the flop comes rags: 9710 two clubs. He makes a small bet and you smooth call. A fourth club falls. He bets the pot. This is not the same as your 80/20 edge over any random two cards. P(you're beat|board and betting) is now probably higher than .5.
I guess my main question is this: what do you want from this hand? I suppose you want more than the blinds and his raise. However, if he wakes up and starts firing after the flop and turn, you have to decide which percentage of the time this big pot you're looking for is yours and how often it is his. In other words, if your slowplay works and the pot gets big, how likely are you to be the favorite? If it doesn't work and he checks along, was the added risk worth it given no reward?
All this aside, you will probably make him fold if you reraise preflop. Your line, though it implies more risk (higher variance), might be higher EV if you can lay your hand down if you are obviously beat. If you cant, then you're probably better off winning the pot preflop with a big reraise.
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