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Betting the River
I think betting the river is one big leak in my game now: because I don't bet it when I should. This is probably a common new-guy problem which might benefit other readers too.
For example: I catch TPTK and bet the pot. If I get a caller, I have to try to put him on some cards. Chasing a str? flush? hit middle pair? or smooth calling a set? etc. So I'll slow up a little and bet half of the new pot. If he calls here without raising, I'm a little worried (if he raises here, I'm usually folding--I don't like heading to a showdown with only a pair). By the river there's usually an overcard, or 3 to a straight/flush and I end up checking. If he bets back at me, I have some decision making to do. But too often he just checks too, and shows a lower pair or lower kicker. When he mucks a missed flush, I don't worry about this, because he wouldn't have called any bet anyway. But if he took TPGK this far, he would have called another reasonable bet, I did not get maximum value for my hand.
So where is the EV+ on this scenario?
If I bet and he folds a missed flush, I win nothing more for my risk.
If I bet and he calls and I win, I get the extra bet.
If I bet and he calls and I lose to two pair, I lose the extra bet.
If I bet and he raises, I might fold, losing my bet.
If I bet and he raised, I might win/lose extra.
I play Empire $25NL if this makes a difference.
I'm still a little new at this and don't trust my reads all the time.
Also, how does the situation change if I'm last to act and so he checked first?
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