|
This really doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me either.
With KK on AT4r we are actually not doing horribly when called assuming our opponent can have stuff like JJ and some Tx, maybe the odd gut shot as well as his Ax stuff. I agree a smallish bet here makes sense, but betting 20% of the pot is just weird for a few reasons. Firstly it's likely to induce action some % of the time which means if raised we really need a plan. This means unless we have reads either that (A) this villain is likely to react aggressively to a tiny bet and we're happy bet/calling, or (B) this villain is passive and isn't going to be attacking this flop vs a tiny c-bet; then we're potentially making a load of mistakes with this sizing. Secondly, it's not very coherent with the rest of our range from a balancing point of view (but this may or may not be a problem.) Basically we don't expect a 1/5th pot to get fold equity very often when we have air.
So I don't like his suggestion in hand one unless we have some info re: the inducing thing.
On the second hand we should usually bet for a couple of reasons. Firstly, lacking reads as to how much our opponent will be bluffing turns/rivers if we check we're turning our hand face up and potentially placing ourselves in a situation we're likely to make mistakes by checking, and remember a c-bet will usually be +EV on this board with any hand, so that seems fine. Secondly, we bet for protection - there are combos of KQ QJ KJ etc that have plenty outs vs us so we want to make these hands fold. We'd also like, if possible, to get called by 9x sometimes if he can have it. Given these are the things we're trying to achieve here a bet of 80% of the pot is awful and makes no sense at all! We can protect vs hands with overs etc by betting half the pot - I doubt we get peeled here by KJ for instance with this size and if we do he's making a mistake. So betting 80% rarely if ever folds out a better hand (maybe like JJ sometimes but that's reaching) is more likely to fold out 9x, and burns lots of extra money the times he has Ax which he's never folding. This size is just awful.
This book is pretty old, and I think you have the right idea questioning stuff that looks suspicious to you. I think a bet of around 1/2 pot in each case is a big improvement on these bizarre size suggestions.
|